Jan 19, 2020
This week we revisit the Home Ownership Savings Plan, HOSP, topic in light of the Finance Act 2019, which expanded the scope of approved institutions that can hold savings towards HOSP to include Fund Managers and Investment Banks registered under the Capital Markets Act; the expansion was through the amendment of the Income Tax Act. Before the amendment, only banks savings qualified for HOSP. We review the prevailing housing market conditions that led up to the government’s declaration of affordable housing as part of the Big 4 Agenda and the effect of recent government incentives in promoting affordability. We also look at features of the Cytonn Affordable Housing Investment Plan, an investment plan that will enable Kenyans to build a deposit towards their affordable housing ownership; CAHIP is a collaboration between Cytonn Investment, as the structuring agent, and Cytonn Asset Managers Limited, as the Fund Manager eligible to take HOSP savings.
As such, we shall look at the following:
Section I: Government’s Affordable Housing Agenda
Kenya’s housing sector is largely characterized by deteriorating housing conditions countrywide arising from a demand that far outpaces supply, particularly in urban areas. According to the National Housing Corporation (NHC), Kenya has a cumulative housing deficit of 2.0 mn units growing by 200,000 units per year driven mainly by; i) rapid population growth of 2.2% p.a. compared to the global average of 0.9%, and ii) a high urbanization rate of 4.3% against global and Sub-Saharan averages of 2.1% and 4.1%, respectively. Supply, on the other hand, has been constrained mainly by the high construction costs, high costs of land in urban areas as well as high cost of capital, with the Ministry of Housing in Kenya estimating the total annual supply to be at 50,000 units.
Notably, the Ministry indicates that 83.0% of the existing housing supply is for the high income and upper-middle-income segments, with only 15.0% for the lower-middle and 2.0% for the low-income population. In short, while 74.4% of Kenya’s working population requires affordable housing, only 17.0% of housing supply goes into serving the low to lower-middle-income segment. This shortage in housing has manifested itself through the proliferation of slums and informal settlements in urban areas and poor quality housing in rural areas.
It is in this regard that the President of Kenya declared the Affordable Housing Initiative under the Big Four Agenda in 2017 aiming to deliver 500,000 homes by 2022 with a price range of Kshs 0.6 mn and Kshs 3.0 mn.
Affordable Housing - Income Classes |
||
Type of Housing |
Income Range (Kshs) |
% of Kenyan Population |
Social Housing |
0-19,999 |
2.6% |
Low Cost Housing |
20,000-49,999 |
71.8% |
Mortgage Gap |
50,000-149,999 |
22.6% |
Middle to High Income |
>150,000 |
2.9% |
Source: Ministry of Housing
The target beneficiaries for the units are Kenyans who are unable to access long-term housing finance. This is as most local banks have products for households that earn above Kshs 150,000 per month.
As a low middle-income country, Kenya’s largest challenge has been access to finance. As a result, previous government regimes had introduced some measures aimed at alleviating the housing finance crisis, namely:
However, since the declaration of Affordable Housing Agenda, the current regime has gone ahead and passed a host of more legislations meant to enable the affordable housing initiative. These include:
The government has over the past three years also introduced a host of other measures to help ease construction costs for developers of affordable housing, key among them being:
The above measures are aimed at lowering construction costs by approximately 30.0%, from the average market rate of Kshs 44,754 per SQM to Kshs 31,328 per SQM, thereby fostering the development of affordable homes. The table below shows the anticipated impact of the above incentives in promoting affordability.
Affordable Housing Initiatives |
||
Initiative |
Expected Impact on Reducing Property Prices |
Impact on Buyers |
Reduction of Import Declaration Fee (IDF) from 2.0% to 1.5% |
0.5% |
Indirect |
Zero rate VAT for affordable construction supplies |
16.0% |
Indirect |
Corporate tax reduction from 30% to 15% for developers of over 100 units |
8.0% |
Indirect |
The scrapping of 2.0% and 4.0% Stamp Duty for First-time Homebuyers |
3.0% |
Direct |
Total Impact on Affordability |
27.5% |
Source: Cytonn
We estimate that measures such as zero-rating VAT, reducing IDF Fee, and the 50.0% corporate tax reduction for developers will indirectly reduce home prices by at least 16.0%, 0.5%, and 8.0%, respectively, while the scrapped off stamp duty outright saves the homebuyer 2.0% or 4.0% of the home value. Thus, on average, the incentives will help increase affordability by up to 27.5%. Taking, for instance, an average two-bedroom unit priced at Kshs 7.0 mn in the prevailing market values; with the government incentives applied, the unit price, therefore, will cost Kshs 5.1 mn. We also expect that other measures such as the incorporation of The Kenya Mortgage Refinancing Company will also ease the cost of buying in the long run, particularly for mortgage borrowers. In our KMRC Topical, we estimated that the facility would help reduce monthly repayments for a mortgage by at least 14.0%, comparing a mortgage loan of 12 and 20 years offered at an interest rate of 13.6%.
Section II: A Recap of Our Analysis of Home Ownership Savings Plans (HOSP) and Recent Developments
It has been our view that linking housing finance systems to the capital market, which is capable of offering attractive rates to Kenyans saving for homeownership will enhance financial liberalization and assist low-income earners to efficiently save towards homeownership as part of the overall government’s development strategy.
To reiterate our Home Ownership Savings Plans (HOSP) topical pieces dated September 15, 2019, and December 22, 2019, the Income Tax Act cap 470 defines a Home Ownership Savings Plan (HOSP) as a savings plan established by an ‘approved institution’ and registered with the commissioner for Income Tax for receiving and holding funds in trust for depositors. It is a tax-sheltered savings plan whose main objective was to enable individual depositors to save for home acquisition or development and was introduced in Kenya in 1995. The regulation allows depositors tax rebates of Kshs 8,000 per month maximum or Kshs 96,000 per annum, effectively reducing an individual’s taxable income by the amount of their monthly contribution) with the condition that it is with a Registered Home Ownership Savings Plan. As per the Income Tax Act, any interest earned on the deposits up to Kshs 3.0mn is also tax-exempt. It is also important to note that Registered Home Ownership Savings accounts in Kenya are restricted to first time home buyers. The accumulated funds are withdrawn tax-free to strictly purchase or construct a house. Thus, if the depositor utilizes the funds for any other purpose other than to acquire a house, they become taxable in the year of withdrawal.
In the topical, we also noted how Home Ownership Savings Plan in Kenya has not been very successful in its overall objective, which was to avail housing finance and promote a culture of savings for aspiring homeowners. This has been evidenced by the fact that only one institution, Housing Finance, explicitly offers the product to the public; the low homeownership rates in the country which as per the Kenya Integrated Household Budget Survey of 2016 stood at 26.5%; and the relatively low mortgage uptake with 26,504 mortgage accounts recorded as at 2018 against an adult population of 23.0 mn and the existing housing deficit estimated at 2.0 mn by the National Housing Corporation.
As at the time of our first topical, the Income Tax Act restricted the product to a few approved institutions, which were; banks or financial institutions registered under the Banking Act, insurance companies licensed under the Insurance Act or building societies registered under the Building Societies Act.
It is in this regard that real estate and capital market players lobbied for the passing of Registered Home Ownership Saving Plans to include Fund Managers and Investment Banks under the Capital Markets Act. This is also because, a well-developed capital market that is in sync with the housing finance system is a prerequisite for a sustainable, low-cost capital raising mechanism for affordable housing in Kenya for both developers and potential homeowners. As such, we lobbied stakeholders and recommended that Fund Managers and Investment Banks should qualify as HOSP approved institutions, under Section 22 C (8) Income Tax Act 2018.
We commend the government for heeding this call. The Finance Act of 2019, passed in November 2019, expanded the scope of approved Institutions which can hold deposits of a HOSP to include Fund Managers and Investment Banks registered under the Capital Markets Act.
Section III: Benefits of Home Ownership Savings
The current attractiveness of HOSP schemes to stakeholders stems in part from the financial and housing market conditions that prevail today in the Kenyan market characterized by lack of long-term savings, the huge housing shortage, affordability problems as evidenced by extremely high price-to-income ratios, relatively high and volatile inflation, as well as reduced wage incomes. For the government, HOSP schemes alleviate the housing problem by enabling homebuyers to have the required funding to acquire a home. As it is, there exists a direct correlation between the existing housing finance system and the level of informal settlements in the country, which the World Bank estimated to be 61.0% of urban dwellers as at 2017. For financial institutions, HOSP schemes can offer effective screening and monitoring as well as establishing the reputation of steady savers as future borrowers, thus lowering credit risks. Savers, on the other hand, stand to benefit in the following ways:
(All Values in Kshs Unless Stated Otherwise)
PAYE Remittances Scenario |
||
|
HOSP Subscriber |
Without HOSP |
Monthly Gross Salary (Kshs) |
50,000 |
50,000 |
HOSP Remittance (Kshs) |
8,000 |
- |
PAYE (Kshs) |
5,459 |
7,596 |
Taxable Income (Kshs) |
42,000 |
50,000 |
Section IV: Structural Impediments to Capital Markets Based Home Ownership Savings Programs
While the government has done a lot to stimulate HOSP, we still have 3 key structural impediments to the Capital Markets Based Home Ownership Program that require urgent review, in any case, the biggest financier to sustainable affordable housing is going to capital markets funding. We request the government and the Capital Markets Authority, CMA, to look into these three issues with due speed since they are huge impediments to capital formation towards affordable housing:
Affordable housing agenda will not move fast or far without capital markets funding, and capital formation will not happen without reviewing the above structural impediments; it is crucial that we review the above 3 with a sense of urgency.
Section V: The Cytonn Affordable Housing Investment Plan (CAHIP)
Majority of Kenyans desire to own a home and this has seen many duped by unscrupulous organizations purporting to help them achieve that objective. Having been a key player in lobbying for expanding of HOSP to include Fund Managers, and in an effort to provide a credible home savings platform, Cytonn Investments will on Tuesday, 21st January 2020, launch the Cytonn Affordable Housing Investment Plan (CAHIP) with the main objective being to offer a solution to members of the public, the common mwananchi, who are keen on saving towards homeownership.
CAHIP will provide those saving towards home purchase an attractive investment proposition, compared to those currently available in the market. To achieve this, CAHIP, which is structured by Cytonn Investments, has partnered with the Cytonn Money Market Fund, which not only has tax advantages for those saving towards homeownership but provides high levels of returns while protecting investor's capital. The key features are as indicated below:
Below we illustrate an individual savings plan through: (i) a HOSP scheme, which is likely to offer a 5.0% return per annum, based on the rates we received in the market, and (ii) a Fund Manager’s Unit Trust Fund such as the Cytonn Affordable Housing Investment Plan, offering a 11.0% yield per annum; the purpose of the example is to show how much a depositor would have after the ten-year period:
(All Values in Kshs Unless Stated Otherwise)
|
CAHIP |
HOSP (Current Market Rate) |
Monthly Deposits |
2,000 |
2,000 |
Rate of Return |
11.0% |
5.0% |
Tenor (Years) |
10 |
10 |
Future Value |
432,249 |
310,565 |
|
Assuming (i) an 11.0% yield on savings, (ii) goal is to build a 10% towards a house costing Kshs 4.0 mn, hence saving at least 400,000, this is how long it would take you (assuming an initial investment of Kshs 5,000). The below table also shows different levels of monthly savings needed to achieve the Kshs 400,000:
All values in Kshs unless stated otherwise
Monthly Investment after Initial 5000 |
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
Year 6 |
Year 7 |
Year 8 |
Year 9 |
Year 10 |
1,000 |
17,139 |
31,716 |
47,890 |
65,835 |
85,746 |
107,837 |
132,347 |
159,542 |
189,715 |
223,192 |
2,000 |
28,730 |
57,277 |
88,951 |
124,094 |
163,085 |
206,346 |
254,346 |
307,602 |
366,690 |
432,249 |
3,000 |
40,321 |
82,838 |
130,012 |
182,352 |
240,424 |
304,856 |
376,344 |
455,661 |
543,665 |
641,306 |
4,000 |
51,912 |
108,399 |
171,073 |
240,610 |
317,763 |
403,365 |
498,342 |
603,721 |
720,640 |
850,363 |
5,000 |
63,503 |
133,960 |
212,134 |
298,868 |
395,102 |
501,874 |
620,340 |
751,780 |
897,615 |
1,059,420 |
6,000 |
75,094 |
159,521 |
253,194 |
357,127 |
472,441 |
600,384 |
742,339 |
899,840 |
1,074,590 |
1,268,477 |
7,000 |
86,685 |
185,082 |
294,255 |
415,385 |
549,780 |
698,893 |
864,337 |
1,047,899 |
1,251,564 |
1,477,534 |
8,000 |
98,276 |
210,643 |
335,316 |
473,643 |
627,119 |
797,403 |
986,335 |
1,195,959 |
1,428,539 |
1,686,591 |
9,000 |
109,867 |
236,204 |
376,377 |
531,901 |
704,458 |
895,912 |
1,108,333 |
1,344,018 |
1,605,514 |
1,895,648 |
10,000 |
121,458 |
261,765 |
417,438 |
590,159 |
781,797 |
994,421 |
1,230,332 |
1,492,078 |
1,782,489 |
2,104,705 |
In conclusion, being part of a risk-averse homeownership savings plans that offers an attractive return on your homeownership savings will enable savers to purchase a home more easily and more efficiently in comparison to other savings vehicles and for ardent savers; a high rate of return also means high-interest income and capital stability.
For more information on CAHIP, email us at housing@cytonn.com.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this publication are those of the writers where particulars are not warranted. This publication is meant for general information only and is not a warranty, representation, advice or solicitation of any nature. Readers are advised in all circumstances to seek the advice of a registered investment advisor.