Oct 12, 2025
Following the release of the H1’2025 results by Kenyan insurance firms, the Cytonn Financial Services Research Team undertook an analysis on the financial performance of the listed insurance companies and the key factors that drove the performance of the sector. In this report, we assess the main trends in the sector, and areas that will be crucial for growth and stability going forward, seeking to give a view on which insurance firms are the most attractive and stable for investment. As a result, we shall address the following:
Section I: Insurance Penetration in Kenya
Insurance uptake in Kenya remains low compared to other key economies with the insurance penetration coming in at 2.2% as at H1’2025, according to Q2’2025 Insurance Regulatory Authority (IRA) and Central Bank of Kenya. The low penetration rate, which is below the global average of 7.4%, according to Allianz Global Insurance Report 2025, is attributable to the fact that insurance uptake is still seen as a luxury and mostly taken only when it is necessary or a regulatory requirement. Notably, insurance penetration declined by 0.2% points from 2.4% recorded in 2024, despite the mild economic recovery that saw a slight improved business environment in the country with the Stanbic Purchasing Managers Index for H1’2025 coming in at 50.5, up from 50.0 in H1’2024. The chart below shows Kenya’s insurance penetration for the last 15 years:
Source: Cytonn Research
The chart below shows the insurance penetration in other economies across Africa:
*Data as of H1’2025
Source: Atlas Magazine
Insurance penetration in Africa has remained relatively low, averaging 3.5% in 2024, mainly attributable to lower disposable income in the continent and slow growth of alternative distribution channels such as mobile phones to ensure wider reach of insurance products to the masses. South Africa remains the leader in insurance penetration in the continent, owing to a mature and highly competitive market, coupled with strong institutions and a sound regulatory environment.
Section II: Key Themes that Shaped the Insurance Sector in H1’2025
In H1’2025, the country experienced a more favourable operating environment due to relatively stable inflation and stronger Shilling. Notably, the inflation rate in H1’2025 averaged 3.7%, 1.9% points lower than the 5.6% average in H1’2024, with the Kenyan Shilling having appreciated by 5.5 bps against the USD in H1’2025 to close at Kshs 129.2, from Kshs 129.3 at the beginning of the year. As such, according to the Q2’2025 Insurance Regulatory Authority Insurance industry report, the insurance sector showcased resilience recording a 13.4% growth in gross premium to Kshs 241.3 bn in H1’2025, from Kshs 212.8 bn in H1’2024. This was supported by improved economy as the overall GDP growth rate improved to 5.0% in Q2’2025, from 4.6% recorded in a similar period last year according to Q2’2025 Quarterly Gross Domestic Product Report. Insurance claims also increased by 34.6% to Kshs 67.6 bn in H1’2025, from Kshs 50.2 bn in H1’2024.
Notably, the general insurance business contributed 53.8% of the industry’s premium income in H1’2025 compared to 45.7% contribution by long term insurance business in the same period. During the period, the long-term business premiums increased by 17.7% to Kshs 110.4 bn, from Kshs 93.8 bn in H1’2024 while the general business premiums grew by 10.4% to Kshs 129.9 bn, from Kshs 117.7 bn in 2024. Additionally, motor insurance and medical insurance classes of insurance accounted for 67.6% of the gross premium income under the general insurance business, compared to 64.0% recorded in H1’2024. As for long-term insurance business, the major contributors to gross premiums were deposit administration and life assurance classes accounting for 54.8% in H1’2025, compared to the 54.6% contribution by the two classes in H1’2024.
Microinsurance is also shaping Kenya’s insurance landscape, expanding coverage to low-income and informal sector groups. Licensed underwriters are using mobile platforms, SACCOs, and cooperatives to reach underserved populations. Governed by the Insurance (Microinsurance) Regulations, 2020, the framework caps premiums at Kshs 40.0 per day, the insured amount at Kshs 500,000.0, and limits policies to 12 months. The number of licensed microinsurers stands at six with Britam Microinsurance Kenya having the highest market share of 79.4%. In H1’2025 microinsurance premiums amounted to Kshs 1.07 bn, with the general class contributing the majority share at 97.1% while the microinsurers incurred claims amounting to Kshs 304.8 mn during the same period. The total investments under microinsurance business as at end of Q2’2025 amounted to Kshs 540.6 mn with term deposits having the highest allocations of 67.0%.
Key highlights from the industry performance:
On valuations, listed insurance companies are trading at a price to book (P/Bv) of 0.7x, lower than listed banks at 0.9x, but both are lower than their 16-year historical averages of 1.3x and 1.6x, for the insurance and banking sectors respectively. These two sectors are attractive for long-term investors supported by the strong economic fundamentals. The chart below shows the price to book comparison for Listed Banking and Insurance Sectors:
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Source: Cytonn Research
The key themes that have continued to drive the insurance sector include:
The insurance industry was slow to adopt digital solutions, but the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 made online distribution essential. Since then, many insurers have turned to digital platforms to drive growth and expand insurance coverage nationwide. In April 2024, CIC Group announced the launch of Easy Bima, a digital motor insurance product. This solution enables customers to spread the cost of their comprehensive motor insurance premiums into equal monthly instalments over a 12-month period, offering greater flexibility and affordability. By utilizing digital platforms, it enhances accessibility to insurance, particularly for individuals who find it challenging to make lump-sum payments. Consumers often term insurance as difficult and complex to understand. This sentiment has been established through various studies carried out to establish reasons for low uptake of insurance, the latest being the 2024 Fin Access Survey. The survey found that 63.2% of the respondents do not afford premiums while 19.4% lacks awareness of the products. Additionally in February 2025, Jubilee insurance launched J-Force a digital solution aimed at improving efficiency in insurance distribution by simplifying policy administration, client interaction, and transaction handling. In addition to providing real-time business analytics, J-Force empowers intermediaries to work faster and more accurately facilitating client onboarding, lead management, policy issuance, and renewal tracking in a smooth, fully digital environment.
To position the sector within a globally competitive financial services landscape, the regulator has been actively implementing regulations aimed at tackling both longstanding and emerging challenges. The COVID-19 environment proved challenging especially on the regulatory front, as it was a balance between remaining prudent as an underwriter and adhering to the set regulations given the negative effects the pandemic. Regulations used for the insurance sector in Kenya include the Insurance Act Cap 487 and its accompanying schedule and regulations, Retirement Benefits Act Cap 197 and The Companies Act. In H1’2025, regulation remained a key aspect affecting the insurance sector and the key themes in the regulatory environment include;
The move to a risk-based capital adequacy framework presented opportunities for capital raising initiatives mostly by the small players in the sector to shore up their capital and meet compliance measures. With the new capital adequacy assessment framework, capital is likely to be critical to ensuring stability and solvency of the sector to ensure the businesses are a going concern. According to the updated Insurance act 2022,General insurers are required to have at least Kshs 600 mn while life insurance providers are required to have Kshs 400 mn in minimum capital and Kshs 50.0 mn for microinsurers. In May 2022, Sanlam Limited, a South African financial services group listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, announced that it had entered into a definitive Joint Venture agreement for a term of 10 years with Allianz SE, with the aim to leverage on the two entities footprints in Africa and create a leading Pan-African financial services group, with an estimated equity value of Kshs 243.7 bn. Key to note, Sanlam Limited, indirectly owns 100.0% in Hubris Holdings Limited, which is the majority shareholder in Sanlam Kenya Plc, a listed insurance and financial services entity on the Nairobi Stock Exchange. The initial shareholding split of the Joint Venture was announced to be 60:40, Sanlam Limited to Allianz respectively, with the effective date of the proposed transaction being within 12-15 months of the announcement, subject to relevant approvals. However, given the length of the Agreement we expect that the Joint Venture will provide for Sanlam Kenya Plc, Allianz General Insurance Kenya and Jubilee General Insurance (which Allianz owns the majority stake in – 66.0%), to combine operations to grow their market share, asset base and bottom lines.
Additionally, insurance companies have increasingly turned to capital raising initiatives such as rights issues to strengthen their financial positions. A recent example is Sanlam Kenya, which undertook a rights issue offering 500.0 mn new shares at an offer price of Kshs 5.00 per share. The capital raised is to direct towards key strategic areas, primarily aimed at reducing the Group’s long-term debt exposure and supporting its return to profitability.
Section III: Interest rates
The interest rate environment has been declining in H1’2025.With Central Bank rates declining in 2025, insurers capitalized on longer tenor higher-yielding treasury bills and bonds, with 364-day, 182-day, and 91-day papers decreased by 6.2% points, 7.5% points, and 7.4% points to 10.4%, 9.1%, and 8.8% in H1’2025, respectively, from 16.7%, 16.6%, and 16.2%, respectively, in H1’2024. According to the IRA report, Investments in income-generating assets registered growth, increasing by 19.3% to Kshs 1.2 tn in Q2’2025, up from Kshs 1.0 tn recorded in Q2’2024. The table below shows insurance industry investments:
Cytonn Report: Insurance Industry Investments |
||||
Investments |
Q2'2025 |
Q2'2024 |
y/y Change |
Q2'2025 % Distribution |
Government Securities |
855.6 |
711.5 |
20.3% |
71.0% |
Term Deposits |
147.8 |
113.6 |
30.1% |
12.3% |
Investments Property |
94.7 |
93.0 |
1.8% |
7.9% |
Investment in Related Companies |
30.6 |
28.4 |
7.9% |
2.5% |
Ordinary Shares Quoted |
30.6 |
22.2 |
37.5% |
2.5% |
Loans & Mortgages |
10.4 |
7.9 |
31.6% |
0.9% |
Other Securities |
35.4 |
33.9 |
4.6% |
2.9% |
Total |
1,205.1 |
1,010.5 |
19.3% |
100.0% |
* Figures in Kshs Bns |
Source: IRA
Government securities grew by 20.3% to Kshs 855.6 bn in Q2’2025, up from Kshs 711.5 bn in Q2’2025. Insurers increased their portfolios to in government securities despite the declining yields. The share of government securities rose 0.6% points year-on-year to 71.0% in Q2’2025 from 70.4% in Q2’2024 attributable to low risk profile from government securities. Investments in term deposits increased by 30.1% points to Kshs 147.8 bn in Q2’2025, up from 113.6 bn in Q2’2024 with the allocation increasing by 1.1% to 12.3%, from 11.2% in Q2’2024.Investment property increased by 1.8% to Kshs 94.7 bn in Q2’2025 ,up from Kshs 93.0 bn in Q2’2024 ,while the allocation of the portfolio declined by 1.3% points to 7.9%, from 9.2% in Q2’2024. The chart below shows comparison of investments portfolio allocations for the industry:
Source: IRA
Section IV: Industry Highlights and Challenges
The insurance sector has grown steadily over the past decade, and this momentum is expected to continue at a moderate pace. The outlook is supported by stronger economic outlook and a corresponding increase in insurance premiums, factors which are likely to enhance the industry's capacity to maintain profitability.
On the regulatory front, the rejected Finance Bill 2024 included provisions that sought to expand taxes on insurance premiums and extend VAT to certain insurance services. These included a new 2.5% tax on the value of motor vehicles, payable when issuing insurance cover and limiting VAT exemptions to insurance and reinsurance premiums only, subjecting other related services to the standard VAT rate of 16.0%. These measures were aimed at increasing government revenue but were met with opposition from industry stakeholders, including the Association of Kenya Insurers (AKI) due to concerns over increased insurance costs. The rejection of the Finance Bill has provided a temporary reprieve for the insurance sector, though discussions on balancing fiscal policy and market growth continue to shape the regulatory landscape.
Industry Challenges:
Section V: Performance of the Listed Insurance Sector in H1’2025
The table below highlights the performance of the listed insurance sector, showing the performance using several metrics, and the key take-outs of the performance.
Listed Insurance Companies H1’2025 Earnings and Growth Metrics |
|||||||||
Insurance |
Core EPS Growth |
Insurance revenue growth |
Claims growth |
Loss Ratio |
Expense Ratio |
Combined Ratio |
ROaE |
ROaA |
|
Sanlam |
(94.7%) |
6.1% |
5.3% |
89.1% |
60.0% |
149.1% |
1.2% |
0.1% |
|
Liberty |
(29.8%) |
(37.4%) |
(20.0%) |
73.6% |
80.0% |
153.6% |
4.4% |
0.9% |
|
Jubilee Insurance |
20.4% |
32.6% |
36.6% |
92.2% |
108.4% |
200.7% |
5.5% |
1.4% |
|
Britam |
(15.0%) |
10.6% |
11.4% |
76.8% |
96.4% |
173.2% |
6.0% |
1.2% |
|
CIC |
(23.3%) |
8.4% |
23.4% |
92.2% |
117.2% |
209.4% |
6.0% |
1.3% |
|
*H1'2025 Weighted Average |
(6.6%) |
13.7% |
19.8% |
85.2% |
102.5% |
187.7% |
5.6% |
1.3% |
|
**H1'2024 Weighted Average |
39.6% |
51.7% |
(18.2%) |
81.1% |
68.2% |
149.4% |
7.3% |
1.6% |
|
*Market cap weighted as at 09/10/2025 |
|
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**Market cap weighted as at 18/10/2024 |
|
The key take-outs from the above table include;
Based on the Cytonn H1’2025 Insurance Report, we ranked insurance firms from a franchise value and from a future growth opportunity perspective with the former getting a weight of 40.0% and the latter a weight of 60.0%.
For the franchise value ranking, we included the earnings and growth metrics as well as the operating metrics shown in the table below in order to carry out a comprehensive review:
Listed Insurance Companies H1’2025 Franchise Value Score |
||||||
Insurance Co. |
Loss Ratio |
Expense Ratio |
Combined Ratio |
Tangible Common Ratio |
Franchise Value Score |
Ranking |
Sanlam Kenya |
89.1% |
60.0% |
149.1% |
8.3% |
15 |
1 |
Britam Holdings |
76.8% |
96.4% |
173.2% |
12.9% |
15 |
1 |
Jubilee Holdings |
92.2% |
108.4% |
200.7% |
21.6% |
18 |
3 |
Liberty Holdings |
73.6% |
80.0% |
153.6% |
19.2% |
19 |
4 |
CIC Group |
92.2% |
117.2% |
209.4% |
15.6% |
23 |
5 |
* H1’2025 Weighted Average |
85.2% |
102.5% |
187.7% |
17.0% |
|
|
The Intrinsic Valuation is computed through a combination of valuation techniques, with a weighting of 40.0% on Discounted Cash-flow Methods, 35.0% on Residual Income and 25.0% on Relative Valuation. The overall H1’2025 ranking is as shown in the table below:
Listed Insurance Companies H1’2025 Comprehensive Ranking |
|||||
Bank |
Franchise Value Score |
Intrinsic Value Score |
Weighted Score |
H1’2025 Ranking |
H1’2024 Ranking |
Sanlam Kenya |
1 |
2 |
1.6 |
1 |
4 |
CIC Group |
5 |
3 |
3.8 |
2 |
1 |
Britam Holdings |
1 |
4 |
2.8 |
3 |
5 |
Liberty Holdings |
4 |
5 |
4.6 |
4 |
3 |
Jubilee Holdings |
3 |
1 |
1.8 |
5 |
2 |
Major Changes from the H1’2025 Ranking are;
Section VI: Conclusion & Outlook of the Insurance Sector
Kenya’s improving economic conditions have created a more positive outlook for the insurance sector. With easing inflation and a stabilizing shilling, households are likely to have more disposable income, supporting higher insurance uptake. Although challenges persist, the industry continues to gain from the digital transformation and innovation that accelerated during the pandemic. Ongoing regulatory reforms and a stronger focus on customer needs remain central priorities. The more favourable economic environment offers insurers a solid foundation for growth, with opportunities to refine product offerings, strengthen customer relationships, and develop policies that reflect the evolving financial needs and capabilities of consumers.
The insurance sector should build on the following strategies to sustain growth and capitalize on the economic upturn:
For more information, please read our H'12024 Listed Insurance Sector full report
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this publication are those of the writers where particulars are not warranted. This publication is meant for general information only and is not a warranty, representation, advice or solicitation of any nature. Readers are advised in all circumstances to seek the advice of a registered investment advisor.