Apr 8, 2018
In a bid to support the Affordable Housing Initiative, Treasury Cabinet Secretary Hon. Henry Rotich announced plans of setting up a Mortgage Liquidity Facility (MLF) i.e. The Kenyan Mortgage Refinancing Company (KMRC), which is aimed at enhancing mortgage affordability and enabling long-term loans at attractive market rates in the country. KMRC is an initiative of National Treasury and the World Bank, and will be owned by the state, commercial banks and financial co-operatives as a Limited Liability Company and is expected to be licensed by CBK in February next year, with initial debt financing of USD 160 mn from the World Bank for lending on to financial institutions. It will be a newly created, non-bank financial institution, that is restricted to providing long-term funding and capital market access to mortgage lenders and issuing bonds to investors and will be under the CBK’s supervision, while its bond issuance operations will be overseen by the Capital Markets Authority of Kenya. This week therefore, we look at the proposed mortgage liquidity facility, by looking at the following:
A. Introduction to Mortgage Liquidity Facilities
As per the World Bank, a mortgage liquidity facility is a financial institution that is meant to support long-term lending activities by Primary Mortgage Lenders (PML) –such as banks, credit unions and mortgage brokers with the core function being to act as an intermediary between PMLs and the bond market. In Kenya, mortgage lenders are banks, with KCB and Standard Chartered being the leading banks in mortgage lending as per the Residential Mortgage Survey by Central Bank of Kenya, as well as one mortgage finance institution, I.e., Housing Finance. Mortgage refinancing works by:
Refinancing facilities act as suitable intermediaries between primary mortgage lenders and capital markets. In this way, they enable countries with nascent mortgage markets to boost the supply of long-term capital and thus expand mortgage lending, through:
B. Mortgage Refinancing Companies in Africa; their Achievements, Challenges and Key Lessons for Kenya
I. The Egyptian Mortgage Refinancing Company (EMRC)
The EMRC came about from structural reform programs by the Egyptian Government aimed at improving the investment climate and enhance economic growth in Egypt. This was given a boost by the World Bank, which funded the Egypt Mortgage Finance Project (EMFP) with USD 39.1 mn. While this helped in raising the liquidity, banks were still reluctant to write mortgages for two main reasons: (i) the maturity mismatch between their short-term deposits and long-term mortgage loans, and (ii) the lack of registered titles – partly due to the costly and time-consuming process to obtain good title. The government of Egypt in 2015 introduced the idea of contracting out a nation-wide streamlining and digitization of the existing property registration system in a bid to curb the informal and quasi-legal land processes. However, this has not yet come to effect and a paltry 7% -10% of property is formally registered in Egypt. The issues facing the growth of the mortgage market necessitated the government to step in and attempt to create a more enabling environment for lenders to provide home mortgages with attractive rates. For this reason, the Egypt Mortgage Refinance Company was formed under the EMFP in 2006. The EMRC’s aim was to provide a low risk residential mortgage finance system in which mortgage lenders would be able compete on a market basis in order to make housing finance available on economically attractive terms and conditions.
Achievements:
Challenges:
Lessons for Kenya from Egypt:
II. Tanzania Mortgage Refinancing Company (TMRC)
The Tanzania Mortgage Refinancing Company was formed after the Tanzanian Government, through the Ministry of Lands, Housing and Human Settlements, initiated the Housing Finance Project (HFP) to promote an active mortgage finance market. An agreement with the International Development Association was signed in 2011 with the main aim being to promote the housing mortgage finance market through the provision of medium and long-term mortgage lenders. For this purpose, the World Bank issued a debt of USD 30 mn and like the Egyptian Mortgage Refinancing Company, it was expected that the TMRC would begin issuing bonds in the capital markets to help fund its operations on a market sustainable basis.
Achievements:
Challenges:
Lessons for Kenya from Tanzania:
III. Nigeria Mortgage Refinancing Company (NMRC)
The Nigeria Mortgage Refinance Company Plc (NMRC) was incorporated in 2013 with the sole aim of providing affordability of good housing to Nigerians by enhancing increased liquidity in the mortgage market though mortgage and commercial banks. This was through a concessional USD 300 mn 40-year loan by the International Development Association (IDA) loan at 0.75% to the dollar. It was incorporated as part of the Nigeria Housing Finance Programme, by Federal Ministry of Finance (FMOF), the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Federal Ministry of Lands & Urban Development & Housing and the World Bank/international Finance Corporation as a public company registered with the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC). Of key to note is that, the World Bank in a bid to avoid the same mistakes in Tanzania and Egypt of not tapping into the capital market, mandated for the International Development Association loan to the NMRC to be disbursed in phases as subordinate debt financing with the funds being invested in securities to cover the NMRCs operational costs and grow its capital base.
Achievements:
Challenges:
Lessons for Kenya from Nigeria:
Based on the case studies, the key issues affecting mortgage liquidity facilities include:
C. The Current Kenyan Situation
In Kenya, mortgages declined by 1.5% as of December 2016 to 24,085 from 24,458 in December 2015 attributed to the interest rates cap law. As property prices rose, the value of mortgage loan assets outstanding increased to Kshs 219.9 bn in December 2016 from Kshs 203.3 bn in December 2015, an increase of 8.1%. However, following the interest rate cap law, average mortgage interest rates dropped to 10.5%-18.0%, from 11.9%-23.0% in 2015. As per the 2016 Kenya Mortgage Survey by Central Bank of Kenya, factors hindering the maturity of the Kenyan mortgage market despite its potential include: (i) high costs of houses against low incomes, (ii) high lending rates, (iii) difficulties with property registration and titling, (iv) undeveloped standardization of loan underwriting, documentation or servicing procedures, and (v) lack of access to long term financing. To address this; (i) the Ministry of lands is currently undertaking the land registration digitization process and effecting a computerized titling system and to enable multiple land titling, and (ii) According to Hon. Henry Rotich, the National Treasury is in the process of revising the interest rate cap law from the current 13.5% due to the negative effect it has had in the credit sector, such as the decline of private sector credit growth which dropped to 2.1% as at February 2018.
In our view, the key conditions necessary for the success of Kenya Mortgage Refinancing Company will be:
With this in mind, we are of the view that for KMRC to have a meaningful impact, we need to address the cost of housing to make it more affordable. On bonds issuance, investors are likely to buy into the long-term mortgage-backed bond for 13.9% - 14.1%, assuming a 1.0% margin above the minimum of the risk-free rate for a 10-year bond, which currently stands at 12.9%, or 13.1% for a 15-year bond. In or view, this is still high for financing end user mortgages as it might mean high costs of debt thus locking out low income earners. The assumption is based on the typical corporate premium charged above the risk-free rate. This however, should be guided by the Capital Markets Authority’s Policy Guidance Note (PGN) which is aimed at facilitating the issuance of Asset-Backed Securities (ABS). Kenya Mortgage Refinancing Company is a step in the right direction towards making the Government initiative of providing 500,000 homes per year till 2022 come to effect. We expect the body to result to a rise in (i) number of mortgage lenders, (ii) the number of mortgage undertakings, and thus (iii) increased uptake of homes by the low-income population.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this publication, are those of the writers where particulars are not warranted. This publication, which is in compliance with Section 2 of the Capital Markets Authority Act Cap 485A, is meant for general information only and is not a warranty, representation, advice or solicitation of any nature. Readers are advised in all circumstances to seek the advice of a registered investment advisor.