Cytonn Real Estate, the development affiliate of Cytonn Investments, has released their Nairobi Metropolitan Serviced Apartments 2020 report. The report covers the state of the serviced apartments market through looking into the drivers, challenges facing the sector, current and incoming supply, performance, and concludes by pointing out the investment opportunity
According to the report, serviced apartments within the NMA recorded an average rental yield of 4.0% in 2020, 3.6% points lower than the 7.6% recorded in 2019.
The performance of serviced apartments per node is summarized below:
(All values in Kshs unless stated otherwise)
2020 NMA Serviced Apartments Performance per Node |
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|
Unit Sizes (SQM) |
Monthly Charges per Unit (Kshs) |
|
||||||||
Node |
Studio |
1 Bed |
2 Bed |
3 Bed |
Studio |
1 Bed |
2 Bed |
3 Bed |
Occupancy 2020 |
Monthly Charge per SQM(Kshs) 2020 |
Rental Yield |
Westlands & Parklands |
37 |
57 |
88 |
114 |
196,000 |
231,811 |
307,734 |
324,000 |
49.4% |
3,578 |
6.1% |
Kilimani |
47 |
75 |
114 |
193 |
147,375 |
203,333 |
335,000 |
407,500 |
48.4% |
2,783 |
4.8% |
Limuru Road |
44 |
52 |
79 |
116 |
122,000 |
174,093 |
207,143 |
270,000 |
51.4% |
2,839 |
4.5% |
Kileleshwa& Lavington |
38 |
91 |
128 |
166 |
112,000 |
198,510 |
296,773 |
433,200 |
48.1% |
2,553 |
4.3% |
UpperHill |
|
95 |
119 |
195 |
|
190,000 |
290,000 |
373,333 |
48.9% |
2,121 |
3.6% |
Nairobi CBD |
51 |
82 |
85 |
119 |
104,500 |
148,188 |
207,167 |
295,250 |
42.1% |
2,122 |
2.9% |
Thika Road |
70 |
101 |
145 |
100,000 |
190,000 |
275,000 |
48.1% |
1,138 |
2.0% |
||
Average |
43 |
75 |
102 |
150 |
136,375 |
177,991 |
261,974 |
339,755 |
48.0% |
2,448 |
4.0% |
High |
51 |
95 |
128 |
195 |
196,000 |
231,811 |
335,000 |
433,200 |
51.4% |
3,578 |
6.1% |
Low |
37 |
52 |
79 |
114 |
104,500 |
100,000 |
190,000 |
270,000 |
42.1% |
1,138 |
2.0% |
Source: Cytonn Research
According to the report Westlands -Parklands was the best performing node, recording an average rental yield of 6.1%, 2.1% points higher than the 4.0% market average. This was attributed to the proximity to business nodes such as Kilimani, Nairobi CBD and UpperHill, availability of amenities such as the Westgate Mall and Sarit Centre, ease of accessibility and proximity to the main airports that is Jomo Kenyatta International Airport (JKIA) and Wilson Airport. Kilimani was the second best performing node with average rental yields of 4.8% compared to market average of 4.0%. This is however a decline of 4.7% points attributed to 31.6% decline in occupancy rates and 20.5% correction in the monthly charges per SQM. Thika Road (Muthaiga North, Mirema and Garden Estate) recorded the lowest rental yield at 2.0%, and this was attributed to the relatively low charge rates for apartments within the area, given its unpopularity, due to lack of modern and quality serviced apartments in the area, the significant distance from main commercial zones, in addition to security concerns as the area is not mapped within the UN Blue Zone
The table below summarizes metrics that have a possible impact on the hospitality industry, which is the serviced apartments performance, international tourism, MICE tourism and supply
Key: Green – POSITIVE, Grey – NEUTRAL, Red – NEGATIVE highlights sectorial outlook
Serviced Apartments Sector Outlook |
||
Measure |
Sentiment |
Outlook |
Serviced Apartments Performance |
In 2020, serviced apartments within the NMA recorded an average rental yield of 4.0%, 3.6% points lower than the 7.6% recorded in 2019, this is lower compared to the residential market performance which had an average rental yield of 4.9%, attributable to the adverse effects of the pandemic on the sector. The performance is expected to improve in the long term owing to the reopening of the economy and the post pandemic recovery strategies that have been put in place to cushion the hospitality industry. The sector recovery will be largely supported by government strategies such as the Ministry of Tourism post-corona recovery funds aimed at offering financial aid to hotel and other establishments in the hospitality industry through the Tourism Finance Corporation (TFC), repackaging of the tourism sector products to appeal to domestic tourists, relaxation of travel advisories and reopening of Kenya’s key tourism markets. |
Neutral |
International Tourism |
The total number of international arrivals through Jomo Kenyatta International Airport (JKIA) and Moi International Airport (MIA) increased from 13,919 persons in August 2020 to 20,164 persons in September 2020. This is an indication of gradual recovery of the tourism industry which will boost the hospitality sector. The second wave of the pandemic in some markets is however expected to slow down these numbers as people limit their travelling options to avoid the spread of the virus. |
Neutral |
MICE Tourism |
Kenya has continued to gain popularity as a MICE hub with, Kenyatta International Conference Centre (KICC) being recognized as Africa’s leading meeting and conference centre (MICE). The performance of the sector has been affected by people shifting towards e-conferencing thus minimizing the need for physical meetings. Some factors that are likely to cushion the performance of Kenya as a preferred MICE hub include calm political environment, aggressive marketing by the Kenyan government and the improving infrastructure. |
Neutral |
Supply |
Serviced apartments in the Nairobi Metropolitan Area (NMA) increased by a 6-Year CAGR of 8.6% to 5,594 in 2020, from 3,414 in 2015. The current developments in pipeline are expected to add to the current supply of the sector thus boosting performance through increasing competition especially in areas like Kilimani and Westlands which have majority of serviced apartments within the area. |
Neutral |
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