By Research Team, Jan 24, 2021
During the week, T-bills subscription rate improved with the overall subscription rate coming in at 84.5%, from 65.7% recorded the previous week due to slight improvements in the liquidity of the money markets. In the primary bond market the government issued a 16-year bond, IFB1/2021/016 with a coupon rate of 12.3% and an amortized time to maturity of 12.5 year. The overall subscription rate of the bond came in at 250.7%, supported by the attractiveness of the bond due to its tax free benefits;
During the week, the equities market was on a downward trajectory with NASI, NSE 20 and NSE 25 shedding off 2.1%, 1.7% and 1.6%, respectively, taking their YTD performance to gains of 1.8%, 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively. The equities market performance was driven by losses recorded by large-cap stocks such as Diamond Trust Bank (DTB-K), Safaricom, KCB and Co-operative Bank which were down 5.2%, 2.7%, 2.4% and 2.3%, respectively. The declines were however mitigated by gains recorded by other large-cap stocks such as BAT and Bamburi which gained by 2.1% each. The Insurance Regulatory Authority (IRA), recently released the Q3’2020 Insurance Industry Report highlighting that the industry’s gross premium income increased by 2.6% to Kshs 179.4 bn, from Kshs 174.9 bn recorded in Q3’2019;
During the week, the British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab announced that Kenya is expected to receive at least Kshs 8.0 bn from the United Kingdom government to finance the construction of approximately 10,000 affordable houses through Acorn Holdings, a local real estate developer. In the retail sector, Naivas Supermarket announced plans to open its 70th retail store in Kilifi taking up space previously occupied by troubled retailer Tuskys;
Land has consistently been ranked as one of the best investment assets in the real estate sector attributable to its resilience. For instance, in 2020, land asking prices recorded an average annual capital appreciation of 2.3% bringing the 9-year CAGR to 10.7%. To enhance land transactions, transparency and consolidation of land laws and to address the land ownership issues and use, the government of Kenya has continued to introduce several regulatory and policy reforms through most recently the Land Registration (Electronic Transactions) Regulations, 2020, Stamp Duty (Valuation of Immovable Property) Regulations, 2020 among others. However, more polishing of the land regulations needs to be done to address the missing links that bring about controversies;
Money Markets, T-Bills & T-Bonds Primary Auction:
During the week, T-bills subscription rate improved with the overall subscription rate coming in at 84.5%, from 65.7% recorded the previous week. The highest subscription rate was in the 364-day paper which rose to 172.2% from 133.1% recorded the previous week. The subscription for the 182-day and 91-day papers however declined to 9.2% and 53.7%, from 81.0% and 125.4% recorded the previous week, respectively. The yields on the 91-day and 364-day papers both rose by 10.0 bps and 6.0 bps to 7.0% and 8.5%, respectively, while the 182-day paper remained unchanged at 7.5%. The government continued to reject expensive bids with the acceptance rate declining to 86.4%, from 99.9% recorded the previous week, accepting bids worth Kshs 17.5 bn out of the Kshs 20.3 bn worth of bids received.
The Central Bank of Kenya issued a bond, IFB1/2021/016, with an effective tenor of 16 years and a coupon of 12.3%, which traded from 21st December 2020 to 19th January 2021. The issue recorded high demand, with the overall subscription rate coming in at 250.7%, supported by the attractive tax-free nature of the infrastructure bond. The government received bids worth Kshs 125.3 bn, higher than the Kshs 50.0 bn offered and accepted only Kshs 81.1 bn. The acceptance rate came in at 64.7%, with the weighted average rate of accepted bids being 12.4%.
In the money markets, 3-month bank placements ended the week at 7.4% (based on what we have been offered by various banks), while the yield on the 91-day T-bill increased by 10.0 bps to 7.0%. The average yield of Top 5 Money Market Funds remained unchanged at 10.0%, as recorded the previous week. The yield on the Cytonn Money Market increased marginally by 10.0 bps to 10.9% from the 10.8%, recorded the previous week.
Liquidity:
During the week, liquidity eased in the market with the average interbank rate decreasing to 4.3% from the 5.1% recorded the previous week, mainly supported by government payments which partly offset tax remittances. The average interbank volumes declined by 11.0% to Kshs 9.6 bn, from Kshs 10.8 bn recorded the previous week. According to the Central Bank of Kenya’s weekly bulletin, released on 15th January 2021, commercial banks’ excess reserves came in at Kshs 13.0 bn in relation to the 4.25% Cash Reserve Ratio.
Eurobonds performance:
During the week, the yields on Eurobonds recorded mixed performance with the yields on the 10-year Eurobond issued in June 2014, the 30-year bond issued in 2018 and the 12-year bond issued in 2019 remaining unchanged at 3.7%, 7.2% and 6.1%, respectively while the yields on the 10-year bond issued in 2018 and the 7-year bond issued in 2019 declining by 0.1% points, The 10-year bond issued in 2018 declined to 5.3% from 5.4%, while the 7-year bond issued in 2019 declined to 4.8% from 4.9%, recorded last week.
Kenya Eurobond Performance |
|||||
|
2014 |
2018 |
2019 |
||
Date |
10-year issue |
10-year issue |
30-year issue |
7-year issue |
12-year issue |
31-Dec-2020 |
3.9% |
5.2% |
7.0% |
4.9% |
5.9% |
15-Jan 2021 |
3.7% |
5.4% |
7.2% |
4.9% |
6.1% |
18-Jan-2021 |
3.7% |
5.4% |
7.4% |
5.0% |
6.2% |
19-Jan-2021 |
3.7% |
5.4% |
7.3% |
4.9% |
6.2% |
20-Jan-2021 |
3.7% |
5.4% |
7.3% |
4.9% |
6.2% |
21-Jan-2021 |
3.6% |
5.3% |
7.2% |
4.9% |
6.1% |
22-Jan-2021 |
3.7% |
5.3% |
7.2% |
4.8% |
6.1% |
Weekly Change |
0.0% |
(0.1%) |
0.0% |
(0.1%) |
0.0% |
YTD Change |
(0.2%) |
0.1% |
0.2% |
(0.1%) |
0.2% |
Source: Reuters
Kenya Shilling:
During the week, the Kenyan shilling appreciated marginally against the US dollar by 0.1% to Kshs 109.8 from Kshs 110.1 recorded the previous week, buoyed by higher dollar inflows from offshore investors into the local debt market due to the improved investor sentiment for so-called frontier assets. On a YTD basis, the shilling has depreciated by 0.6% against the dollar. We expect continued pressure on the Kenyan shilling due to:
However, in the short term, the shilling is expected to be supported by:
Weekly Highlights
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is set to meet on Wednesday, 27th January 2021, to review the performance of the previous policy decisions undertaken in 2020 and what the next steps would be on matters monetary policy. We expect the MPC to maintain the Central Bank Rate (CBR) at 7.00%, supported by:
For more information, see our note on the 27th January 2021 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Meeting.
Rates in the fixed income market have remained relatively stable due to the high liquidity in the money markets, coupled with the discipline by the Central Bank as they reject expensive bids. The government is 22.9% ahead of its prorated borrowing target of Kshs 252.5 bn having borrowed Kshs 321.8 bn. In our view, due to the current subdued economic performance brought about by the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the government will record a shortfall in revenue collection with the target having been set at Kshs 1.9 tn for FY’2020/2021 thus leading to a larger budget deficit than the projected 7.5% of GDP, ultimately creating uncertainty in the interest rate environment as additional borrowing from the domestic market may be required to plug the deficit.
Market Performance
During the week, the equities market was on a downward trajectory with NASI, NSE 20 and NSE 25 shedding off 2.1%, 1.7% and 1.6%, respectively, taking their YTD performance to gains of 1.8%, 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively. The equities market performance was driven by losses recorded by large-cap stocks such as Diamond Trust Bank (DTB-K), Safaricom, KCB and Co-operative Bank of 5.2%, 2.7%, 2.4% and 2.3%, respectively. The declines were however mitigated by gains recorded by other large-cap stocks such as BAT and Bamburi which gained by 2.1% each.
Equities turnover increased by 26.8% during the week to USD 24.1 mn, from USD 19.0 mn recorded the previous week, taking the YTD turnover to USD 57.6 mn. Foreign investors remained net buyers, with a net buying position of USD 0.2 mn, from a net buying position of USD 6.6 mn recorded the previous week, taking the YTD net buying position to USD 4.9 mn.
The market is currently trading at a price to earnings ratio (P/E) of 11.6x, 10.3% below the 11-year historical average of 12.9x. The average dividend yield is currently at 4.6%, 0.1% points above what was recorded the previous week and 0.5% points above the historical average of 4.1%.
With the market trading at valuations below the historical average, we believe there are pockets of value in the market for investors with a higher risk tolerance. The current P/E valuation of 11.6x is 50.6% above the most recent valuation trough of 7.7x experienced in the first week of August 2020. The charts below indicate the market’s historical P/E and dividend yield.
Weekly Highlight:
The Insurance Regulatory Authority (IRA), recently released the Q3’2020 Insurance Industry Report highlighting that the industry’s gross premium rose by 2.6% to Kshs 179.4 bn, from Kshs 174.9 bn recorded in Q3’2019, with the general insurance business contributing to 58.6% of the industry’s premium income, a 1.6% points decline from the 60.2% contribution witnessed in Q3’2019. The regulator noted that the COVID-19 pandemic had impacted the insurance sector mainly through reduced returns from the capital markets and a rise in insurance claims in the long term insurance business class.
Other key take-outs from the report include:
Despite the measures taken by the government to cushion individuals against the effects emanating from the pandemic, we believe that the industry’s loss ratio is set to increase in FY’2020 as more people file for claims while others use their contributions as collateral for loans. Additionally, given the declines recorded in the Equities Market in 2020, with the NASI and NSE 20 declining by 8.6% and 29.6%, respectively, and the decline in yields during the period, we believe that the sector’s investments income will decline further, and as such, affect the sectors bottom line.
Universe of Coverage
Banks |
Price at 15/01/2021 |
Price at 22/01/2021 |
w/w change |
YTD Change |
Year Open |
Target Price* |
Dividend Yield |
Upside/ Downside** |
P/TBv Multiple |
Recommendation |
Diamond Trust Bank*** |
77.0 |
73.0 |
(5.2%) |
(4.9%) |
76.8 |
105.1 |
3.7% |
47.7% |
0.3x |
Buy |
KCB Group*** |
36.9 |
36.0 |
(2.4%) |
(6.3%) |
38.4 |
46.0 |
9.7% |
37.5% |
1.0x |
Buy |
I&M Holdings*** |
45.9 |
46.0 |
0.3% |
2.6% |
44.9 |
60.1 |
5.5% |
36.2% |
0.7x |
Buy |
Kenya Reinsurance |
2.6 |
2.5 |
(4.9%) |
8.7% |
2.3 |
3.3 |
4.4% |
35.9% |
0.3x |
Buy |
Liberty Holdings |
8.0 |
7.4 |
(7.3%) |
(3.6%) |
7.7 |
9.8 |
0.0% |
32.1% |
0.6x |
Buy |
Co-op Bank*** |
12.9 |
12.6 |
(2.3%) |
0.4% |
12.6 |
14.5 |
7.9% |
23.0% |
1.0x |
Buy |
ABSA Bank*** |
9.5 |
9.5 |
(0.4%) |
(0.6%) |
9.5 |
10.5 |
11.6% |
22.6% |
1.2x |
Buy |
Equity Group*** |
36.9 |
37.2 |
0.8% |
2.6% |
36.3 |
43.0 |
5.4% |
21.0% |
1.1x |
Buy |
Standard Chartered*** |
139.8 |
138.8 |
(0.7%) |
(4.0%) |
144.5 |
153.2 |
9.0% |
19.4% |
1.1x |
Accumulate |
Stanbic Holdings |
80.5 |
77.8 |
(3.4%) |
(8.5%) |
85.0 |
84.9 |
9.1% |
18.3% |
0.8x |
Accumulate |
Britam |
7.5 |
7.5 |
0.8% |
7.4% |
7.0 |
8.6 |
3.3% |
17.7% |
0.8x |
Accumulate |
Sanlam |
13.2 |
14.0 |
6.1% |
7.7% |
13.0 |
16.4 |
0.0% |
17.1% |
1.1x |
Accumulate |
Jubilee Holdings |
290.0 |
280.0 |
(3.4%) |
1.5% |
275.8 |
313.8 |
3.2% |
15.3% |
0.7x |
Accumulate |
NCBA*** |
25.5 |
25.4 |
(0.4%) |
(4.5%) |
26.6 |
25.4 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
0.7x |
Lighten |
CIC Group |
2.2 |
2.2 |
0.0% |
1.9% |
2.1 |
2.1 |
0.0% |
(2.3%) |
0.8x |
Sell |
HF Group |
3.6 |
3.9 |
6.9% |
23.9% |
3.1 |
3.0 |
0.0% |
(22.9%) |
0.1x |
Sell |
*Target Price as per Cytonn Analyst estimates **Upside/ (Downside) is adjusted for Dividend Yield ***Banks in which Cytonn and/ or its affiliates are invested in |
We are “Neutral” on the Equities markets in the short term. We expect the recent discovery of a new strain of COVID-19 coupled with the introduction of strict lockdown measures in major economies to continue dampening the economic outlook. However, we maintain our bias towards a “Bullish” equities markets in the medium to long term. We believe there exist pockets of value in the market, with a bias on financial services stocks given the resilience exhibited in the sector. The sector is currently trading at historically cheaper valuations and as such, presents attractive opportunities for investors.
During the week, British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab announced that Kenya is expected to receive at least Kshs 8.0 bn from the United Kingdom to finance the construction of approximately 10,000 affordable houses through Acorn Holdings, a local real estate developer. The funds which will be released in tranches will consist of Kshs 1.0 bn from UK funded InfraCo and another Kshs 7.0 bn from private investors. The investment affirms UK’s government’s support for the Big Four Agenda on affordable housing that is aimed at delivering affordable homes for Kenyans. Kenya government has continued to push for the delivery of the targeted 0.5 mn units but the implementation of the projects has continued to lag behind with less than 1,000 units delivered so far mainly through the Park Road Project and Pangani Estate, while other projects such as Shauri Moyo, Makongeni and Starehe houses are still in the pipeline. The main challenges facing the delivery have included; (i) unavailability of affordable financing to developers, (ii) bureaucracy and slow project approval processes, (iii) the pending operationalization of the Integrated Project Delivery Unit (IPDU) which was tasked with being a single point of regulatory approval for developments, infrastructure provision and developer incentives, (iv) failure to fast track incentives provided in support of the affordable housing initiative, (v) ineffectiveness of Public-Private Partnerships, (vi) obstacles in our capital markets regulatory framework, which make it difficult to raise capital for real estate development, and, (vii) the current economic slowdown due to the ongoing pandemic. We therefore expect the provision of funding from the UK government will positively drive the initiative by facilitating implementation of projects through Acorn. In spite of the above, the implementation of approximately 10,000 housing units is still a drop in the ocean given the relatively high demand evidenced by more than 300,000 individuals who have registered to purchase affordable homes through the Boma Yangu initiative. Additionally, the 2022 target of 500,000 units remains a pipers dream as there is still no clear path to achieving that. In our view, despite the milestones achieved by the government in driving the affordable housing initiative, the above stated challenges still need to be addressed to fast track the supply of affordable housing units. In addition, there is need for vigorous raising of funds for the initiative especially in the wake of reduced budget allocation towards the same for FY 2020/21 at Kshs 6.9 bn 34.3% lower than the Kshs 10.5 bn allocated in FY 2019/2020.
During the week, Naivas Supermarket announced plans to open its 70th retail store at Kilifi Complex Centre in Kilifi towards the end of January taking up the 25,000 SQFT space previously occupied by troubled retailer Tuskys. This follows the opening of other outlets such as Ananas Mall in Thika, Hazina Towers, and Prestige Plaza among others. The rapid expansion by Naivas is supported by availability of funds having raise approximately Kshs 6.0 bn in August 2020 from the sale of a 30.0% stake to a group of investors, including the International Finance Corporation.
The decision to invest in Kilifi is supported by; i) positive demographics with Kilifi having a population of 1,453,787 as of 2019 which was a 23.7% growth from the 1,109,735 recorded in 2009, ii) a growing middle class with increased consumer purchasing power, and, iii) the area’s recognition as a major tourist destination in Kenya, due to its rich cultural heritage and proximity to the Indian Ocean.
The table below shows the summary of the number of stores of the key local and international retail supermarket chains in Kenya;
Main Local and International Retail Supermarket Chains |
||||||
Name of Retailer |
Initial number of branches |
Number of branches opened in 2021 |
Closed branches |
Current number of Branches |
Branches expected to be opened / closed |
Projected total number of branches |
Naivas Supermarket |
69 |
0 |
0 |
69 |
1 |
70 |
Tuskys |
52 |
0 |
14 |
52 |
27 |
25 |
QuickMart |
35 |
0 |
0 |
35 |
0 |
35 |
Chandarana Foodplus |
20 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
20 |
Carrefour |
8 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
3 |
11 |
Uchumi |
37 |
0 |
33 |
4 |
0 |
4 |
Game Stores |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
Choppies |
15 |
0 |
13 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
Shoprite |
4 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
Nakumatt |
65 |
0 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Total |
308 |
0 |
127 |
195 |
31 |
172 |
Source: Online Research
The continued expansion of local retailers such as Naivas, has significantly cushioned the real estate retail sector whose performance has been dwindling attributable to; i) reduced demand for retail space as some retailers halt operations to cushion themselves from the effects of the pandemic, ii) reduced revenues amid reduced disposable income among consumers, iii) the shift to e-commerce, and, iv) the existing oversupply in the retail sector of 2.0 mn SQFT in the Kenya retail as at 2020 thus resulting in pressure on landlords to provide concessions and other incentives to attract new clientele or retain existing tenants. According to the Cytonn’s Kenya Retail Report 2020, the retail sector on overall recorded a decline in the average rental yield by 0.3% points to 6.7% in 2020 from 7.0% in 2019, while the occupancy rates also recorded a 0.7% points drop to 76.6% in 2020 from 77.3% in 2021.
The performance of the key urban centers in Kenya is as summarized below;
(All values in Kshs unless stated otherwise)
Summary of Retail Performance in Key Urban Cities in Kenya |
|||
Region |
Rent/SQFT 2020 |
Occupancy % 2020 |
Rental Yield 2020 |
Mount Kenya |
125.0 |
78.0% |
7.7% |
Nairobi |
168.5 |
74.5% |
7.5% |
Mombasa |
114.4 |
76.3% |
6.6% |
Kisumu |
97.2 |
74.0% |
6.3% |
Eldoret |
130.0 |
80.2% |
5.9% |
Nakuru |
55.7 |
76.6% |
5.9% |
Average |
115.1 |
76.6% |
6.7% |
Source: Cytonn Research
Despite declines in performance, some of the factors expected to continue supporting the growth of the retail sector in Kenya include; i) continued improvement of infrastructure opening up areas for investment, ii) rapid urbanization and population growth rates of around 4.0% and 2.2%, respectively against a global average of 1.9% and 1.1%, iii) investor confidence due to the ease of doing business in Kenya, having been ranked position #56 by World Bank in the ease of doing business, and, iv) the growing middle class with increased purchasing power.
The real estate sector is expected to continue recording increased activities supported by the continued focus on the affordable housing initiative and the constant expansion by local retailers taking up prime spaces vacated by struggling retailers.
Land plays a significant role in the socio-economic and political development of the country. Therefore, its ownership, allocation, distribution and utilization is of great concern to most Kenyans thus making it one of the contentious issues that requires a lasting solution in effective legal and institutional framework. Land is either public, private or community land, with ownership being either on a freehold tenure which gives the holder absolute ownership of the land for life, or leasehold tenure in which the interest in land for a specific period is subject to payment of a fee, rate or rent to the grantor. The National Land Policy in Kenya recommends leases of not more than 99 years with a possibility of extension when the lessee applies for an extension of term before the existing term has expired. During the period of ownership, an individual or entity is required to pay land rates and rent which is currently based on the 1980 valuation roll. In terms of Stamp Duty payment before transfer of land, current stamp duty rates are 4.0% of the valuation amount for land in urban areas and 2.0% for land in rural areas.
Land has also consistently been ranked as one of the best investment assets in the real estate sector attributable to its performance resilience. According to the Cytonn Annual Markets Review 2020, land asking prices recorded an average annual capital appreciation of 2.3% in 2019 bringing the 9-year CAGR to 10.7%. The satellite towns have continued to gain popularity outperforming the Nairobi suburbs recording an average annual capital appreciation of 5.4% compared to the market average of 2.3%, attributable to affordability of land in the satellite towns. However, for site and service the prices are lower due to the fewer list of sub markets unlike unserviced land which in includes market areas such as Ruaka whose prices are relatively high yet there is absence of site and service schemes. The commercial suburbs in the Nairobi area recorded reduced transaction volumes and resultant subdued performance attributable to the existing oversupply of commercial office and retail space estimated at approximately 6.3 mn and 3.1 mn SQFT, respectively.
The table below shows the summary of the Nairobi Metropolitan Area land performance;
(All values in Kshs Unless Stated Otherwise)
Nairobi Metropolitan Area Land Performance Trend |
|||||||
Location |
*Price in 2011 |
*Price in 2017 |
*Price in 2018 |
*Price in 2019 |
*Price in 2020 |
9 Year CAGR |
Annual Capital Appreciation 2019/'20 |
Unserviced land- Satellite Towns |
9.0 mn |
20.4 mn |
22.7 mn |
24.9 mn |
26.8 mn |
12.9% |
7.1% |
Serviced land- Satellite Towns |
6.0 mn |
14.4 mn |
14.3 mn |
14.3 mn |
14.8 mn |
10.6% |
3.8% |
Nairobi Suburbs - Low Rise Residential Areas |
56.0 mn |
82.4 mn |
89.4 mn |
91.6 mn |
93.8 mn |
5.9% |
3.2% |
Nairobi Suburbs - High Rise residential Areas |
46.0 mn |
134.6 mn |
135.0 mn |
137.5 mn |
135.7 mn |
12.8% |
1.2% |
Nairobi Suburbs - Commercial Areas |
156.0 mn |
429.8 mn |
447.3 mn |
428.5 mn |
413.0 mn |
11.4% |
(3.8%) |
Average |
54.6 mn |
144.5 mn |
155.4 mn |
139.4 mn |
136.8 mn |
10.7% |
2.3% |
Source: Cytonn Research
Some of the recent factors driving land transactions include;
Despite the above, the factors negatively affecting land transactions include;
The 2010 Constitution of Kenya enhanced previous land reform efforts by establishing a legal framework for the administration, use, and management of land in Kenya. Article 61 of the Constitution classifies land as either public land, private land or community land, i.e;
There has been a number of land regulations that have been established without constitutional backing such as The Land Titles Act, The Registration of Titles Act, The Land Acquisition Act , The Government Land Act and therefore they had to be repealed . There are others that remain in force such as The Land Control Act, The Landlord and Tenant Act, and The Distress for Rent Act. The Parliament of Kenya in 2012 enacted new land laws with the aim of revising, consolidating and rationalizing land laws; and also providing for the sustainable administration and management of land and land-based resources on matters concerning land.
The new land regulations include:
The main provisions that came under the above Acts of Parliament included;
Despite these laws having been comprehensive enough to address loopholes in legal framework, land transactions have over the years continued to face challenges which further led to other recent reforms which have come into play to facilitate easier land and property transactions, bringing order to records and reducing court cases relating to the transactions;
Some of the expected effects of the recent land Regulations are;
Land reforms in Kenya have over the years been a continuous process aimed at bringing about positive change in land management and administration. With land being one of the key enablers of the Big Four Agenda, the Ministry of Lands and Physical Planning has been implementing several strategic policies and administrative interventions, as well as administrative and legal reforms to streamline land administration and to address the issues of land ownership and use. We expect the new land laws to bring about change, consistency and consolidation of land laws in Kenya. However, more polishing of the regimes needs to be done to address the missing links that bring about controversies. In addition, to enhance the effectiveness of the regimes we recommend, i) consolidation of the land law into a few Acts to take care of the substantive land law, registration of land, planning and survey, ii) creation of public awareness on the land laws, and, iii) eradicating historical injustices such as irregularly allocated public land by the commission.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this publication are those of the writers where particulars are not warranted. This publication is meant for general information only and is not a warranty, representation, advice or solicitation of any nature. Readers are advised in all circumstances to seek the advice of a registered investment advisor.