Aug 25, 2024
Following the release of the H1’2024 results by all four authorized Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in Kenya, the Cytonn Real Estate Research Team undertook an analysis of the financial performance of the REITs and identified the key factors that shaped the performance of the sector. For the earnings notes of the various REITs, click the links below:
The in the report we will assess the financial performance of the current REITs in the market during H1’2024 in terms of operational metrics, profitability metrics, leverage ratios, liquidity ratios, and valuation metrics. In addition, we highlight the outlook regarding our expectations for the REITs sector going forward. This we will cover as follows;
Section I: Overview of the REITs Sector in Kenya
In H1’2024, Kenya’s Real Estate sector recorded notable growth in terms of activity compared to a similar period in 2023, attributable to continued investments flowing into the sector. Kenya's Real Estate sector continues to play a vital role in the nation's GDP, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.5% over the past five years. In Q1’2024, the sector expanded by 6.6 %, reaching Kshs 329.2 bn, up from Kshs 306.9 bn in the same period of 2023. This growth underscores the sector's increasing significance, with its contribution to the national GDP rising to 10.2% in Q1’2024 from 10.1% in the same period in 2023.
Several factors have driven this growth, including: i) the Kenyan government is actively working to increase affordable housing availability, ii) infrastructure development continues to support real estate growth by opening new areas for investment, iii) the Kenya Mortgage Refinance Company (KMRC) is making home loans more accessible, iv) the retail sector is expanding, driven by both local and international retailers Kenya's status as a regional business hub is boosting demand for commercial and residential real estate, v) high urbanization and population growth rates are sustaining housing demand vi) investor confidence in the hospitality sector is growing, with a positive outlook for hotel development, and, vii) the alternatives market, particularly in specialized real estate, is showing potential for growth in 2024.
Despite the aforementioned cushioning factors, several challenges hinder the optimal performance of the Real Estate sector. These challenges include Construction costs increased by 17.6% in H1’2024, primarily due to higher prices for key materials, which could hinder sector development. Oversupply of physical space exists in various sectors, leading to prolonged vacancy rates. The REITs market in Kenya faces challenges like large capital requirements, prolonged approval processes, and limited investor knowledge. Rising interest rates have made borrowing more expensive, reducing demand for mortgages and developer financing. Lenders are tightening their requirements, leading to constrained financing for developers and an increase in Non-Performing Loans (NPLs). Underdeveloped capital markets limit funding for real estate projects, with banks providing nearly 95.0% of funding for developers in Kenya. To address the funding gap, players in the Real Estate sector have increasingly turned to alternative financing methods like Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). In 2013, the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) introduced a detailed framework and regulations for REITs, enabling developers to secure capital through this investment avenue.
Kenya's Real Estate sector has been expanding due to ongoing construction activities driven by strong demand for real estate developments. The residential market is significantly under-supplied, with an 80.0% housing deficit; only 50,000 units are delivered annually against an estimated need for 200,000 units per year. Additionally, the formal retail market in Kenya is still in its nascent stages, with a penetration rate of approximately 30.0%, as reported by the Nielsen Report 2018. Despite the high demand, developers in Kenya encounter limited financing options, with local banks providing nearly 95.0% of construction financing, in stark contrast to the 40.0% typically seen in developed countries. The graph below illustrates the comparison of construction financing in Kenya versus developed economies;
Source: World Bank, Capital Markets Authority (CMA)
To bridge the funding gap, developers are increasingly turning to alternative financing methods. In 2013, the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) introduced a regulatory framework for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in Kenya. REITs are collective investment vehicles that pool funds from investors, who then acquire rights or interests in a trust divided into units. Investors benefit from profits or income generated by the real estate assets held within the trust. To ensure transparency, accountability, and the protection of investors' interests, four essential entities play key roles in the REIT structure in Kenya:
The relationship between key parties in a typical REIT structure is depicted in the figure below;
Source: Capital Markets Authority (CMA)
Since its introduction in 2013, the REIT market in Kenya has faced several hurdles that have hindered its growth. Key challenges include the hefty capital requirement of Kshs 100.0 mn for trustees, limiting this role largely to banks, and a protracted approval process for setting up REITs. Additionally, the high minimum investment threshold of Kshs 5.0 mn discourages potential investors, while a lack of sufficient investor education and awareness further impedes market expansion. As a result, the REIT market capitalization in Kenya remains significantly lower compared to other regions
Source: European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA), World Bank
Kenya's REIT market faces additional challenges due to its relatively underdeveloped capital markets, especially when compared to countries like South Africa. Currently, there is only one listed REIT in Kenya, which is not actively trading. This reflects a sector that has largely remained stagnant since the introduction of REIT regulations in 2013. Consequently, most property developers in Kenya continue to rely on traditional funding sources, such as banks, unlike in more developed markets. Since the establishment of REIT regulations, four REITs have been approved in Kenya, all structured as closed-ended funds with a fixed number of shares. However, none of these REITs are actively trading on the Main Investment Market Segment of the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE). Following the recent delisting of ILAM Fahari I-REIT, LAPTrust Imara I-REIT is the only listed REIT in the country, quoted on the restricted market sub-segment of the NSE's Main Investment Market. It is important to note that Imara did not raise funds upon listing. The ILAM Fahari I-REIT, Acorn I-REIT and D-REIT are not listed but trade on the Unquoted Securities Platform (USP), an over-the-counter market segment of the NSE. The table below outlines all REITs authorized by the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) in Kenya
Cytonn Report: Authorized REITs in Kenya |
||||||
# |
Issuer |
Name |
Type of REIT |
Listing Date |
Market Segment |
Status |
1 |
ICEA Lion Asset Management (ILAM) |
Fahari |
I-REIT |
July 2024 |
Unquoted Securities Platform (USP) |
Trading |
2 |
Acorn Holdings Limited |
Acorn Student Accommodation (ASA) – Acorn ASA |
I-REIT |
February 2021 |
Unquoted Securities Platform (USP) |
Trading |
3 |
Acorn Holdings Limited |
Acorn Student Accommodation (ASA) – Acorn ASA |
D-REIT |
February 2021 |
Unquoted Securities Platform (USP) |
Trading |
4 |
Local Authorities Pension Trust (LAPTrust) |
Imara |
I-REIT |
March 2023 |
Restricted Market Sub-Segment of the Main Invesment Market |
Restricted |
Source: Nairobi Securities Exchange, CMA
Section II: Themes that Shaped the REIT Sector in H1’2024
In this section, we examine the key themes that have significantly shaped the REIT sector up to H1 2024. We explore how evolving regulations, strategic acquisitions, and capital-raising initiatives have influenced the REIT industry's trajectory. Additionally, we provide insights into the broader factors that have impacted the sector's performance and overall direction during this period.
REITs are formally established in accordance with regulations set forth for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and granted approval by the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) under the Capital Markets Real Estate Investment Trusts Collective Investment Schemes Regulations of 2013. Instead of taking the form of conventional companies, they are structured as trusts. The management of investment properties falls under the purview of a corporate REIT manager, licensed by the CMA. Units of listed REITs are traded on the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE), akin to shares of any other company listed on both the Main Market Segment and the Unquoted Security Platform (USP), providing investors with a liquid stake in Real Estate. Both individual and corporate investors have the opportunity to partake in a public offering on the NSE, as outlined in the Regulations of 2013.
Furthermore, the regulations stipulate that Kenyan REITs are mandated to distribute a minimum of 80.0% of distributable earnings to their unitholders. REITs automatically qualify for several tax exemptions such as the Income Tax Act (ITA), Value Added Tax (VAT), and Capital Gains Tax (CGT) under the authorization of the Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA). Some of the recent regulatory transformations in the REITs industry include;
Section 20 (1) (c) and (d) of the Income Tax Act (ITA) mandates that, upon registration with the Commissioner of the Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA), both REITs and the companies they invest in are exempt from the standard 30.0% Income Tax Rate (ITR). Furthermore, income distributed by REITs to their investors (unitholders) is not taxed. However, this exemption does not apply to the withholding tax on interest income and dividends received by non-exempt unitholders, as outlined in the first schedule of the ITA. The applicable withholding tax rates can be found in paragraph 5 of the third schedule of the Income Tax Act.
A capital gain arises when the value of a unit upon transfer exceeds its adjusted cost. The disparity between these values is liable to a tax rate of 15.0%. Consequently, any profits made by a promoter or investors of a REIT from transferring property into the REIT are now subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT) at the revised rate of 15.0%, supplanting the previous rate of 5.0% effective from 1 January 2023. Additionally, individuals holding units in a REIT who opt to sell their ownership stake are also required to remit CGT. This stipulation emerged following an amendment to Section 34 (1) (j) of the Income Tax Act through the Finance Act 2022.
However, within the REIT industry, there are certain scenarios that qualify for exemptions from CGT:
The Finance Act 2021 reinstated a significant alteration concerning the exemption from Value Added Tax (VAT) for transactions involving the transfer of assets to REITs and asset-backed securities. This exemption had previously been rescinded by the Tax Laws Amendment Act No. 2 of 2020. In line with Paragraph 33 of Part II of the First Schedule to the VAT Act 2021, a direct transfer of property from the REIT promoter or investors is not subject to VAT. However, if the transfer of assets to the REIT occurs indirectly, through the initial transfer of assets to the investee company, VAT will apply. It is noteworthy that the transfer of shares from a REITs SPV to the REIT trustee will be exempt from VAT, regardless of whether the initial asset transfer involved VAT.
In accordance with the Stamp Duty Act's Section 96A, transfers of stabilized properties from Development REITs (D-REITs) to Income REITs (I-REITs) were previously exempt from stamp duty. However, this exemption expired on December 31, 2022. Effective January 1, 2023, such transfers are now subject to stamp duty as per Section 96A subsection 4.
The intricate nature of REIT regulations, combined with the complexity of the REIT structure, can make it challenging for individuals to understand the tax implications of their investments. This lack of clarity can deter potential investors, fostering skepticism about the fairness and reliability of the REIT market.
Moreover, the limited public information available on REIT regulations exacerbates this issue. Investors who are unaware of the tax consequences of their decisions may avoid investing altogether or make uninformed choices, potentially impacting their financial returns.
To address these concerns, it is crucial for both the government and REIT stakeholders to prioritize the following: i) Enhanced Transparency: Increase public access to clear and concise information about REIT regulations and tax implications, ii) educational Initiatives: Launch educational campaigns and provide resources to inform investors about REITs and their associated tax considerations, iii) collaboration: Foster collaboration between regulatory authorities and industry stakeholders to raise awareness about the benefits and drawbacks of REIT investments, iv) Clear Documentation: Provide easily understandable documentation outlining the tax implications of various investment scenarios, and, v) Consultation Services: Establish accessible consultation services to allow investors to seek expert advice on tax-related aspects of REIT investments.
By implementing these measures, we can help create a more informed and confident investment environment for REITs in Kenya.
Acquisitions play a pivotal role in the dynamic landscape of the Kenyan REITs industry. These strategic moves signify the industry's evolution, adaptability, sustainability, and growth potential. As of December 2023, the industry has witnessed noteworthy acquisitions that are reshaping the sector. These acquisitions hold a promising outlook for the industry, contributing to its progress and value proposition. They exemplify how REITs are actively enhancing their portfolios, expanding their market presence, and optimizing their performance. Some of the notable acquisitions as at H1’2024 include;
In the future, we expect REITs to maintain a strategic acquisition strategy. This will involve actively seeking opportunities to expand their portfolios, diversify their holdings, and respond to evolving market demands. Additionally, REITs are likely to prioritize environmental sustainability, as exemplified by Acorn Holding's issuance of green bonds. Such acquisitions can also stimulate innovation within the industry, encouraging the development of new ideas, designs, and services that cater to the needs of both investors and tenants.
Raising capital is essential in the REITs industry, fueling growth, development, and innovation. Securing funds from diverse sources, whether through debt or equity, enables REITs to expand their portfolios, improve existing properties, and explore new investment opportunities. This practice benefits the REITs and significantly shapes the Real Estate landscape, providing attractive investment options to stakeholders. Some of the notable capital infusion in the REITs industry as of H1’2024 include;
ILAM Fahari I-REIT's delisting from the Main Investment Market Segment (MIMS) of the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) was a strategic response to operational difficulties and the need for structural optimization. After receiving approval from the Capital Markets Authority (CMA), ILAM Fahari transitioned to a Restricted I-REIT, focusing on professional investors. This shift from the unrestricted segment to a restricted one highlights the REIT's challenges and its proactive restructuring approach. Operational issues prompted a reassessment, leading to resolutions at an Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) in December 2023, where the decision to convert to a restricted REIT and delist received strong support from unitholders.
Implications of Delisting:
ILAM Fahari’s delisting and conversion were aligned with its goal to focus on professional investors, offering them specialized investment opportunities, enhancing flexibility, and unlocking growth potential. While this restructuring aids operational efficiency and capital raising, it limits retail investor participation, signaling a shift towards catering to high-net-worth individuals. Going forward, capital raising through equity, debt, and strategic partnerships, particularly in affordable housing and infrastructure, will be crucial in driving the expansion and sustainability of Kenya's REIT industry. Collaborative efforts, regulatory support, and investor education will be key to ensuring successful capital raising and a vibrant future for the sector.
During H1 2024, ICEA Lion Asset Managers (ILAM) Fahari I-REIT was admitted to the Unquoted Securities Platform (USP) of the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE), following their delisting from the main investment market in February 2024. ILAM Fahari joined Acorn I-REIT, Acorn D-REIT, and Linzi Sukuk in the USP, marking the first trading day in the segment. The delisting from the Main Investment Market Segment (MIMS) of the NSE will provide greater flexibility in managing the REIT's portfolio without affecting the unitholders’ ability to trade their units. The REIT’s shares (units) were available for trading on the platform at a fixed price of Kshs 11.0, representing the price at which a section of minority investors was bought out last year by ILAM, which is also the manager of the REIT.
Section III: Summary Performance of the REITs in H1’2024
The tables below highlight the performance of the Kenyan REITs sector, showing the performance using several National Association of Real Estate Investments Trusts (NAREIT) approved metrics, and the key take-outs;
Cytonn Report: Summary Performance Kenya REITs in H1’2024 |
|||||||||||||||
|
Laptrust Imara I-REIT |
ILAM Fahari I-REIT |
Acorn I-REIT |
Acorn D-REIT |
|
|
H1'2023 |
H1'2024 |
y/y change |
||||||
|
H1'2023 |
H1'2024 |
y/y Change |
H1'2023 |
H1'2024 |
y/y Change |
H1'2023 |
H1'2024 |
y/y Change |
H1'2023 |
H1'2024 |
y/y Change |
|||
Operating Metrics |
|||||||||||||||
Net Operating Income (NOI) |
99.6 |
162.4 |
63.0% |
86.0 |
53.8 |
59.8% |
128.0 |
309.9 |
142.1% |
334.2 |
260.2 |
(22.2%) |
647.9 |
786.3 |
21.4% |
Profitability Metrics |
|||||||||||||||
Funds from Operations |
99.6 |
162.4 |
63.0% |
86.0 |
53.8 |
59.8% |
149.8 |
359.0 |
139.6% |
334.2 |
260.2 |
(22.2%) |
669.7 |
835.3 |
24.7% |
Adjusted FFO |
99.6 |
162.4 |
63.0% |
84.4 |
55.1 |
53.2% |
149.8 |
359.0 |
139.6% |
334.2 |
260.2 |
(22.2%) |
668.1 |
836.6 |
25.2% |
Cash Available for Distribution (CAD) |
99.6 |
129.9 |
30.4% |
86.0 |
53.8 |
59.8% |
92.8 |
104.0 |
12.0% |
0.0 |
123.6 |
|
278.5 |
411.3 |
47.7% |
Cash Amounts Distributed (CAD) |
0.0 |
162.4 |
0.0% |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0% |
87.0 |
32.7 |
-62.4% |
0.0 |
181.4 |
|
87.0 |
376.5 |
332.8% |
Valuation Metrics |
|||||||||||||||
Net Asset Value (NAV) |
7,024.3 |
6,948.6 |
(1.1%) |
3,392.8 |
3,233.6 |
4.9% |
6,341.9 |
7,435.4 |
17.2% |
6,547.7 |
6749.5 |
3.1% |
23,306.6 |
24,367.1 |
4.5% |
Source: Cytonn Research
Key takeaways from the table include:
The table below makes a comparison of the leverage and liquidity ratios of all four Kenyan REITs during H1’2024 and H1’2023;
Cytonn Report: Leverage & Liquidity Ratios of Kenyan REITs |
||||||||||||||||
|
Laptrust Imara I-REIT |
ILAM Fahari I-REIT |
Acorn I-REIT |
Acorn D-REIT |
H1’2023* |
H1’2024** |
y/y change |
|
||||||||
H1'2023 |
H1’2024 |
H1’2023 |
H1’2024 |
y/y Change |
H1’2023 |
H1’2024 |
y/y Change |
H1’2023 |
H1’2024 |
y/y Change |
|
|||||
Leverage Ratios |
||||||||||||||||
Debt to Equity Ratios |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0% |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0% |
0.6x |
0.3x |
(55.0%) |
0.2x |
0.1x |
(10.4%) |
|
|
Debt to Total Market Cap Ratio |
0.0% |
0.0x |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
64.0% |
28.0% |
(56.2%) |
29.7% |
8.1% |
(21.7%) |
|
|
Debt to Gross Book Value Ratio |
0.0% |
0.0x |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
35.1% |
14.6 % |
(58.4%) |
16.3% |
4.2% |
(12.1%) |
|
|
Debt to EBITDA Multiple |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0% |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0% |
11.8x |
7.0x |
(40.4%) |
5.5x |
2.0x |
(63.2%) |
|
|
Liquidity Ratios |
|
|||||||||||||||
Debt Service Coverage Ratio |
- |
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
8.1% |
14.2% |
6.1% |
2.5% |
4.1% |
1.6% |
|
|
Implied Capitalization Rate |
0.0% |
2.4% |
12.3% |
3.3% |
(72.8%) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
53.9% |
3.2% |
2.4% |
(26.5%) |
2.2% |
2.7% |
(0.4%) |
|
|
*Market cap weighted as at 30/06/2023 **Market cap weighted as at 30/06/2024 |
Source: Cytonn Research
Key takeaways from the table include;
The table below presents a summary of key valuation metrics of Kenyan REITs in H1’2024;
|
Cytonn Report: Valuation Metrics for Kenyan REITs |
|||||||||||||||
|
Laptrust Imara I-REIT |
|
ILAM Fahari I-REIT |
Acorn I-REIT |
Acorn D-REIT |
H1’2023 |
H1’2024 |
|
||||||||
|
H1'2023 |
H1’2024 |
y/y Change |
H1’2023 |
H1’2024 |
y/y Change |
H1’2023 |
H1’2024 |
y/y Change |
H1’2023 |
H1’2024 |
y/y Change |
y/y change |
|||
Price/ FFO per Share |
69.5x |
42.6x |
(38.6%) |
12.7x |
37.0x |
191.1% |
41.6x |
20.3x |
51.3% |
18.5x |
25.1x |
35.9% |
35.6X |
31.3X |
(12.2%) |
|
Dividend Yield
|
0.00% |
1.9% |
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1.4% |
0.4% |
(0.9%) |
0.0% |
1.8% |
0.0% |
0.3% |
3.8% |
3.5% |
|
Dividend Coverage/ Payout Ratio |
100.0% |
80.0% |
(20%) |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
93.7% |
10.6% |
(83.2%) |
0.0% |
69.7% |
0.0% |
48.4% |
40.1% |
(8.4%) |
|
Net Asset Value |
7,024.3 |
6,948.6 |
(1.1%) |
3,392.8 |
3233.6 |
(4.7%) |
6341.9 |
7,435.4 |
17.2% |
6,547.7 |
6,749.5 |
3.1% |
23,306.6 |
24,367.1 |
4.5% |
|
Net Asset Value per Share |
20.3 |
20.1 |
(1.1%) |
18.7 |
17.9 |
(4.7%) |
22.0 |
22.5 |
2.5% |
25.3 |
25.4 |
0.2% |
21.6 |
21.4 |
(0.6%) |
|
Annualized Dividend Yield |
0.0% |
3.8% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
2.7% |
0.9% |
(67.8%) |
0.0% |
3.6% |
0.0% |
0.7% |
2.1% |
1.4% |
Source: Cytonn Research
Section IV: Conclusion, Recommendations, and Outlook for the REITs Sector
Kenya's REITs market has seen moderate performance, shaped by various factors. Despite challenges, there are encouraging trends, such as growth in net operating incomes, indicating improved financial performance. Additionally, leverage ratios for most REITs have remained low, with many REITs being ungeared and relying on short-term debt for their operations to avoid overexposure to rising interest rates. This trend is expected to continue as REITs seek to maintain financial sustainability, as evidenced by Acorn Holdings' issuance of a green bond. Moreover, the recent regulatory proposal by the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) to reduce the minimum investment amounts for professional investors to Kshs 10,000 is anticipated to increase interest in the sector and attract a broader investor base.
Recommendations to Enhance the REITs Sector:
The outlook for Kenya's REITs sector remains cautiously optimistic. While challenges such as high construction costs and market saturation in certain areas persist, the continued government support through infrastructure development and affordable housing initiatives provides a positive backdrop. Investors are expected to remain focused on income-generating REITs, particularly those tied to resilient sectors like retail and commercial properties. The sector's growth will likely hinge on increased investor awareness and the broadening of investment options within the REITs market.
To read the full Cytonn Kenya’s REITs H1’2024 Report, click here.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this publication are those of the writers where particulars are not warranted. This publication, which is in compliance with Section 2 of the Capital Markets Authority Act Cap 485A, is meant for general information only and is not a warranty, representation, advice, or solicitation of any nature. Readers are advised in all circumstances to seek the advice of a registered investment advisor.