Mar 16, 2025
According to the ACTSERV Q4’2024 Pension Schemes Investments Performance Survey, the five-year average return for segregated schemes over the period 2020 to 2024 was 4.5% with the performance fluctuating over the years to a high of 13.2% in Q4’2024 and a low of 0.7% in Q4’2021 reflective of the markets performance. Notably, segregated retirement benefits scheme q/q returns increased to a 13.2% return in Q4’2024, up from the 3.1% gain recorded in Q4’2023. The y/y growth in overall returns was largely driven by the 18.7% points increase in returns from Equities to 15.7% from a loss of 3.0% in Q4’2023 attributable to the increased corporate earnings and attractive valuations as well as the 13.3% gain from fixed income. The performance was however weighed down by the 17.2% points decline in the Offshore returns to 0.8%, from 18.0% in Q4’2023 majorly attributable to the uncertainty about the US general election, China’s weak economic data and the strengthening of the Kenyan Shilling. This week, we shall focus on understanding Retirement Benefits Schemes and look into the quarterly performance and current state of retirement benefits schemes in Kenya with a key focus on Q4’2024;
We have been tracking the performance of Kenya’s Pension schemes with the most recent topical being, Retirement Benefits Schemes Q3’2024 Performance Report, done in December 2024. This week, we shall focus on understanding Retirement Benefits Schemes and looking into the historical and current state of retirement benefits schemes in Kenya with a key focus on 2024 (latest official data) and what can be done going forward. We shall also analyze other asset classes that the schemes can tap into to achieve higher returns. Additionally, we shall look into factors and challenges influencing the growth of the RBSs in Kenya as well as the actionable steps that can be taken to improve the pension industry. We shall do this by looking into the following:
Section I: Introduction to Retirement Benefits Schemes in Kenya
A retirement benefits scheme is a savings avenue that allows contributing individuals to make regular contributions during their productive years into the scheme and thereafter get income from the scheme upon retirement. There are a number of benefits that accrue to retirement benefits scheme members, including:
Section II: Historical and the Current State of Retirement Benefits Schemes in Kenya
According to the latest Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) Industry Report for June 2024, assets under management for retirement benefits schemes increased by 14.7% to Kshs 2.0 tn in June 2024 from the Kshs 1.7 tn recorded in December 2023. The growth of the assets is attributed to the improved market and economic conditions during the period as evidenced by improved business conditions, eased inflationary pressures and stability of the exchange rate. Notably, on a year-on -year basis, assets under management increased by 16.1% from the Kshs 1.7 tn recorded in June 2023, partly attributable to the enhanced contributions to the mandatory scheme, NSSF, which began in earnest in February 2023 following the court of appeal ruling. The increase in NSSF contribution limits from February 2025, marking the third phase of implementation under the NSSF Act of 2013, is expected to boost the overall pension sector's assets under management (AUM) by increasing retirement savings.
The graph below shows the growth of Assets under Management of the retirement benefits schemes over the last 10 years:
Pensions AUM increased by 14.7% to Kshs 2.0 tn in June 2024 from the Kshs 1.7 tn recorded in December 2023 and by 16.1% on a y/y basis to Kshs 2.0 mn in HY’2024 from Kshs 1.7 mn in HY’2023, which is 6.7% points increase from the 9.4% growth between 2023 and 2022. Additionally, the 9.4% increase in Assets Under Management is 7.5% points increase in growth from the 1.9% growth that was recorded in 2022, demonstrating the significant role that the enhanced NSSF contributions made to the recovery of the industry’s performance following a difficult period in 2022 due to the court ruling that declared revival of NSSF Act No.45 of 2013 unconstitutional. The primary goal of the act was to broaden the NSSF’s benefit coverage, range, and scope as well as improve the adequacy of benefits paid out of the scheme by the Fund amongst others.
The chart below shows the y/y changes in the assets under management for the schemes over the years.
Despite the continued growth, Kenya is characterized by a low saving culture with research by the Federal Reserve Bank indicating that only 14.2% of the adult population in the labor force save for their retirement in Retirement Benefits Schemes (RBSs).
In Kenya, pension funds hold a substantial share of financial assets, consistently growing due to mandatory and voluntary contributions under the National Social Security Fund (NSSF) Act of 2013 regulations. In comparison, bank deposits remain the largest financial pool, reflecting their role as the primary savings vehicle driven by their liquidity, security, and accessibility, though they offer lower returns. Capital markets products, including unit trusts, REITs, are relatively smaller highlighting the nascent stage of capital markets in Kenya, but expanding as investors seek diversification and higher yields. SACCOs play a crucial role in cooperative-based savings and credit access, especially for middle-income earners.
The graph below shows the Assets under Management of Pensions against other Capital Markets products and bank deposits:
Sources: CMA, RBA, SASRA and REIT Financial Statements, *as of Sept 2024, **as of Dec 2024
Retirement Benefits Schemes strategically allocate funds across various asset classes available in the market to safeguard members' contributions while striving to generate attractive returns. These schemes have access to a diverse range of investment opportunities, including traditional asset classes such as equities and fixed income securities. Additionally, they can explore alternative investments such as real estate, private equity, infrastructure, and other non-traditional assets, which may offer higher returns and diversification benefits. The choice of investments is guided by the scheme's Investment Policy Statement (IPS), regulatory guidelines, and the need to align with the risk tolerance and long-term goals of the members. As such, the performance of Retirement Benefits Schemes in Kenya depends on a number of factors such as;
The Retirement Benefits (Forms and Fees) Regulations, 2000 offers investment guidelines for retirement benefit schemes in Kenya in terms of the asset classes to invest in and the limits of exposure to ensure good returns and that members’ funds are hedged against losses. According to RBA’s Regulations, the various schemes through their Trustees should formulate their own Investment Policy Statements (IPS) to Act as a guideline on how much to invest in the asset option and assist the trustees in monitoring and evaluating the performance of the Fund. However, the Investment Policy Statements often vary depending on risk-return profile and expectations mainly determined by factors such as the scheme’s demography and the economic outlook.
The Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) regulations also emphasize the importance of diversification as a key principle in managing pension funds. By setting limits on exposure to specific asset classes, the regulations mitigate the risks associated with market volatility, ensuring that no single investment disproportionately affects the scheme's overall performance. Trustees are required to regularly review and update their Investment Policy Statements (IPS) to reflect changes in market conditions, economic dynamics, and the evolving needs of the scheme's members. This proactive approach not only aligns the investment strategy with the scheme’s objectives but also enhances accountability and transparency in fund management, safeguarding members’ retirement savings. The table below represents how the retirement benefits schemes have invested their funds in the past:
Cytonn Report: Kenyan Pension Funds’ Assets Allocation |
|||||||||||||
Asset Class |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
HY’2024 |
Average |
Limit |
Government Securities |
31.0% |
29.8% |
38.3% |
36.5% |
39.4% |
42.0% |
44.7% |
45.7% |
45.8% |
47.5% |
51.1% |
41.1% |
90.0% |
Immovable Property |
17.0% |
18.5% |
19.5% |
21.0% |
19.7% |
18.5% |
18.0% |
16.4% |
15.8% |
14.0% |
11.9% |
17.3% |
30.0% |
Quoted Equities |
26.0% |
23.0% |
17.4% |
19.5% |
17.3% |
17.6% |
15.6% |
16.5% |
13.7% |
8.4% |
8.8% |
16.7% |
70.0% |
Guaranteed Funds |
11.0% |
12.2% |
14.2% |
13.2% |
14.4% |
15.5% |
16.5% |
16.8% |
18.9% |
20.8% |
20.5% |
15.8% |
100.0% |
Fixed Deposits |
5.0% |
6.8% |
2.7% |
3.0% |
3.1% |
3.0% |
2.8% |
1.8% |
2.7% |
4.8% |
2.7% |
3.5% |
30.0% |
Listed Corporate Bonds |
6.0% |
5.9% |
5.1% |
3.9% |
3.5% |
1.4% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.5% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
2.5% |
20.0% |
Offshore |
2.0% |
0.9% |
0.8% |
1.2% |
1.1% |
0.5% |
0.8% |
1.3% |
0.9% |
1.6% |
2.0% |
1.2% |
15.0% |
Cash |
1.0% |
1.4% |
1.4% |
1.2% |
1.1% |
1.2% |
0.9% |
0.6% |
1.1% |
1.5% |
1.2% |
1.1% |
5.0% |
Unquoted Equities |
1.0% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.4% |
5.0% |
REITs |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.6% |
0.1% |
30.0% |
Private Equity |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
10.0% |
Others e.g. unlisted commercial papers |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.2% |
- |
0.0% |
0.0% |
10.0% |
Commercial Paper, non-listed bonds by private companies |
- |
- |
- |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
10.0% |
Total |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Source: Retirement Benefits Authority
Retirement benefits schemes have for a long time skewed their investments towards traditional assets, mostly, government securities and the equities market, averaging 57.8% as of 30th June 2024 for the two asset classes, leaving only 42.2% for the other asset classes. However, as pension schemes seek higher returns, diversification, and inflation hedging, there has been a growing shift towards alternative investments that include immovable property, private equity as well as Real Estate Investments Trusts (REITs). It is vital to note, that in HY’2024 the second largest increase in allocation was recorded in investments in private equity by 63.3% to Kshs 8.8 bn from Kshs 5.4 bn recorded in HY’2023 and investments in Real Estate Investments Trusts increased by 4.5% to Kshs 11.1 bn in HY’2024 from Kshs 10.6 bn in HY’2023. However, allocation to immovable property decreased by 4.1% to Kshs 236.3 bn in HY’2024 from Kshs 246.3 bn in HY’2023.
Key Take-outs from the table above are;
The chart below shows the allocation by pension schemes on the three major asset classes over the years:
Source: RBA Industry report
According to the ACTSERV Q4’2024 Pension Schemes Investments Performance Survey, the five-year average return for segregated schemes over the period 2020 to 2024 was 4.5% with the performance fluctuating over the years to a high of 13.2% in 2024 and a low of 0.7% in 2021 reflective of the markets performance. Notably, segregated retirement benefits scheme returns increased to a 13.2% return in Q4’2024, up from the 3.1% gain recorded in Q4’2023. The y/y growth in overall returns was largely driven by the 18.7% points increase in returns from Equities to 15.7% from a loss of 3.0% in Q4’2023 attributable to the increased corporate earnings and attractive valuations as well as the 13.3% gain from fixed income. The performance was however weighed down by the 17.2% points decline in the Offshore returns to 0.8%, from 18.0% in Q4’2023 majorly attributable to the uncertainty about the US general election and China’s weak economic data. The chart below shows the performance of segregated pension schemes since 2015:
Source: ACTSERV Survey Reports (Segregated Schemes), computed for quarters ending 31st December
The key take-outs from the graph include:
The survey covered the performance of asset classes in three broad categories: Fixed Income, Equity, Offshore, and Overall Return.
Below is a table showing the fourth quarter performances over the period 2020-2024:
Cytonn Report: Quarterly Performance of Asset Classes (2020 – 2024) |
|||||||
|
Q4'2020 |
Q4'2021 |
Q4'2022 |
Q4’2023 (a) |
Q4'2024 (b) |
Average (2020-2024) |
% points change (b-a) |
Equity |
5.9% |
(4.4%) |
(0.2%) |
(3.0%) |
15.7% |
2.8% |
18.7% |
Fixed Income |
2.0% |
2.2% |
2.9% |
4.0% |
13.3% |
4.9% |
9.3% |
Offshore |
8.5% |
7.2% |
7.4% |
18.0% |
0.8% |
8.4% |
(17.2%) |
Overall Return |
3.0% |
0.7% |
2.3% |
3.1% |
13.2% |
4.5% |
Source: ACTSERV Surveys
Key take-outs from the table above include;
Other Asset Classes that Retirement Benefit Schemes Can Leverage on
Retirement benefits schemes have for a long time skewed their investments towards traditional assets, mostly, government securities and the equities market, averaging at 57.8% in 10 years, as of 30th June 2024, leaving only 42.2% for all the other asset classes. In the asset allocation, alternative investments that include immovable property, private equity as well as Real Estate Investments Trusts (REITs) account for an average of only 17.5% against the total allowable limit of 70.0%. In terms of overall asset allocation, alternative investments still lagged way behind the other asset classes, as demonstrated in the graph below;
Source: RBA Industry Report
Alternative Investments refers to investments that are supplemental strategies to traditional long-only positions in equities, bonds, and cash. They differ from traditional investments on the basis of complexity, liquidity, and regulations and can invest in immovable property, private equity, and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) to a limit of 70.0% exposure. We believe that Alternative Investments, including REITs, would play a significant role in improving the performance of retirement benefits schemes by providing opportunities for higher returns and enhanced portfolio resilience.
Alternative Investments, such as immovable property, private equity, and REITs, offer not only diversification and competitive long-term returns but also the potential to hedge against inflation. Investments in real assets like immovable property and REITs often benefit from inflationary environments, as property values and rental incomes tend to rise with inflation. Additionally, private equity provides access to high-growth sectors, such as technology and renewable energy, which are less correlated to traditional market movements, offering an attractive risk-adjusted return profile.
Furthermore, REITs in Kenya, particularly Development and Income REITs, present unique opportunities for retirement schemes. They provide exposure to the real estate sector without the liquidity constraints and management challenges associated with direct property ownership. As the Kenyan real estate market continues to mature and regulatory frameworks for REITs improve, these instruments are becoming more viable for retirement funds seeking stable, inflation-protected income streams and long-term growth. By strategically allocating a portion of their portfolio to alternative investments, retirement schemes can enhance overall returns while safeguarding members' contributions against market volatility.
According to the Retirement Benefits Authority Investment Regulations and Policies, pension schemes can invest up to 10.0% of their total assets under management in debt instruments for the financing of infrastructure or affordable housing projects approved under the Public Private Partnerships Act. Kenya's pension schemes are increasingly investing in infrastructure projects to diversify their portfolios, achieve stable long-term returns, and contribute to national development. A significant initiative in this direction is the Kenya Pension Funds Investment Consortium (KEPFIC), established in 2018. KEPFIC is a collective of prominent Kenyan retirement benefit funds that have united to make long-term investments in infrastructure and alternative assets within the region. As of the latest report, KEPFIC has mobilized over USD 113.0 mn into projects such as roads, student housing, and affordable housing, involving 88 local pension funds.
Despite there being 1,075 registered pension schemes in Kenya, only 88 have actively participated in infrastructure investments through KEPFIC, highlighting a significant untapped opportunity. With the Retirement Benefits Authority allowing schemes to allocate up to 10.0% of their assets into such projects, there remains substantial room for more pension funds to diversify into infrastructure and affordable housing. A prime example of this opportunity is the Usahihi Expressway, a 440-kilometer dual carriageway connecting Nairobi and Mombasa, which seeks to raise approximately USD 1.0 bn from local pension funds and financial institutions as part of its estimated USD 3.5 bn cost. The Usahihi Expressway is expected to generate revenue primarily through toll collections over the 30-year concession period. Toll roads historically provide stable, inflation-hedged cash flows, making them attractive to long-term institutional investors like pension funds. Toll roads generate cash flows that grow over time, as toll rates can be adjusted for inflation and traffic volumes are expected to increase. By participating in this Public-Private Partnership, pension schemes can not only enhance portfolio returns and manage long-term risks but also play a crucial role in national development by financing transformative projects that spur economic growth.
Section III: Factors Influencing the Growth of Retirement Benefit Schemes
The retirement benefit scheme industry in Kenya has registered significant growth in the past 10 years with assets under management growing at a CAGR of 9.4% to Kshs 1.7 tn in FY’2023, from Kshs 0.7 tn in FY’2013. The growth is attributable to:
Section IV: Challenges that Have Hindered the Growth of Retirement Benefit Schemes
Although the Retirement Benefit industry is expanding, several obstacles still hinder its progress. The main challenges include:
Section V: Recommendations to Enhance the Growth and Penetration of Retirement Benefit Schemes in Kenya
Implementing these recommendations will play important role in driving the sustainable growth of Kenya's retirement benefit schemes. By tackling key structural challenges faced in the industry, it will lead to enhanced trust, increased participation, and ultimately strengthen the sector’s long-term impact.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this publication are those of the writers where particulars are not warranted. This publication, which is following Section 2 of the Capital Markets Authority Act Cap 485A, is meant for general information only and is not a warranty, representation, advice, or solicitation of any nature. Readers are advised in all circumstances to seek the advice of a registered investment advisor.