Dec 8, 2024
According to the ACTSERV Q3’2024 Pension Schemes Investments Performance Survey, the ten-year average return for segregated schemes over the period 2015 to 2024 was 7.7% with the performance fluctuating over the years reflective of the markets performance. Notably, segregated retirement benefits scheme returns increased to 0.4% return in Q3’2024, up from the 2.9% loss recorded in Q3’2023. The y/y growth in overall returns was largely driven by the 3.0% points increase in returns from Offshore investments to 4.7% from 1.7% in Q3’2023 as well as the 2.1% gain from equities attributable to the positive returns realized from the banking sector stocks. This was however a 6.2% points decline from the overall return of 6.6% recorded in Q2’2024. This week, we shall focus on understanding Retirement Benefits Schemes and look into the quarterly performance and current state of retirement benefits schemes in Kenya with a key focus on Q3’2024.
In our previous report, we highlighted that treasury data revealed that for the FY’2023/2024, Kshs 23.8 bn of pension perks were not released to pensioners, citing liquidity challenges. This was in violation of the fiscal requirement to treat pension payments as the first charge in the budget and affected at least 250,000 retirees. This brought back to light the biggest challenge that the country’s civil servants' pension system has had, the overreliance on the exchequer for payment of benefits. The Government had operated a defined benefits (non-contributory) Pension Scheme since independence fully financed through the Exchequer. Given the clear challenges that this system had and the need for reforms in the Public Service Pensions Sector, the Government enacted the Public Service Superannuation Scheme Act 2012. The Act set up the Public Service Superannuation Scheme in 2021, converting all the defined benefit schemes in the public sector to one defined contributions scheme to align with the best practices in the industry. The now new system took in all government officers below 45 years, and gave those above that age the option to join the new system while closing any new entrants to the previous system. Currently, employees in the scheme contribute 7.5% of their basic salary, while the government contributes 15.0%. The scheme is currently managed by Gen Africa Asset Managers, and of the latest data, has assets under management of Kshs 78.8 bn. Given the country’s fiscal constraints, the older pension scheme is likely to remain under pressure until the new system fully kicks in.
We have been tracking the performance of Kenya’s Pension schemes with the most recent topicals being, Retirement Benefits Schemes Q2’2024 Performance Report, Kenya Retirement Benefits Schemes Q1’2024, Performance Kenya Retirement Benefits Schemes Q4’2023 Performance, Progress of Kenya’s Pension Schemes-2022 and Kenya Retirement Benefits Schemes FY’2021 Performance. This week, we shall focus on understanding Retirement Benefits Schemes and looking into the historical and current state of retirement benefits schemes in Kenya with a key focus on 2023 (latest official data) and what can be done going forward. We shall also analyze other asset classes such as REITs that the schemes can tap into to achieve higher returns. Additionally, we shall look into factors and challenges influencing the growth of the RBSs in Kenya as well as the actionable steps that can be taken to improve the pension industry. We shall do this by looking into the following:
Section I: Introduction to Retirement Benefits Schemes in Kenya
A retirement benefits scheme is a savings avenue that allows contributing individuals to make regular contributions during their productive years into the scheme and thereafter get income from the scheme upon retirement. There are a number of benefits that accrue to retirement benefits scheme members, including:
Section II: Historical and the Current State of Retirement Benefits Schemes in Kenya
According to the latest Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) Industry Report for June 2024, assets under management for retirement benefits schemes increased by 14.7% to Kshs 2.0 tn in June 2024 from the Kshs 1.7 tn recorded in December 2023. The growth of the assets is attributed to the improved market and economic conditions during the period as evidenced by improved business conditions, eased inflationary pressures and stability of the exchange rate. The Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) for HY’2024 came in at 50.0, up from 48.7 recorded in HY’2023. Additionally, the average inflation rate in HY’2024 came in at 5.6% compared to 8.5% recorded in a similar period in 2023. Notably, on a year-on -year basis, assets under management increased by 16.1% from the Kshs 1.7 tn recorded in June 2023, partly attributable to the enhanced contributions to the mandatory scheme, NSSF, which began in earnest in February 2023 following the court of appeal ruling.
The graph below shows the growth of Assets under Management of the retirement benefits schemes over the last 10 years:
The 16.1% y/y growth to Kshs 2.0 mn in HY’2024 from Kshs 1.7 mn in HY’2023, is 6.7% points increase from the 9.4% growth between 2023 and 2022. Additionally, the 9.4% increase in Assets Under Management is 7.5% points increase in growth from the 1.9% growth that was recorded in 2022, demonstrating the significant role that the enhanced NSSF contributions made to the recovery of the industry’s performance following a difficult period in 2022.
The chart below shows the y/y changes in the assets under management for the schemes over the years.
Despite the continued growth, Kenya is characterized by a low saving culture with research by the Federal Reserve Bank only 14.2% of the adult population in the labor force save for their retirement in Retirement Benefits Schemes (RBSs).
The graph below shows the Assets under Management of Pensions against other Capital Markets products and bank deposits:
Sources: CMA, RBA, SASRA and REIT Financial Statements
Retirement Benefits Schemes strategically allocate funds across various asset classes available in the market to safeguard members' contributions while striving to generate attractive returns. These schemes have access to a diverse range of investment opportunities, including traditional asset classes such as equities and fixed income securities. Additionally, they can explore alternative investments such as real estate, private equity, infrastructure, and other non-traditional assets, which may offer higher returns and diversification benefits. The choice of investments is guided by the scheme's Investment Policy Statement (IPS), regulatory guidelines, and the need to align with the risk tolerance and long-term goals of the members. As such, the performance of Retirement Benefits Schemes in Kenya depends on a number of factors such as;
The Retirement Benefits (Forms and Fees) Regulations, 2000 offers investment guidelines for retirement benefit schemes in Kenya in terms of the asset classes to invest in and the limits of exposure to ensure good returns and that members’ funds are hedged against losses. According to RBA’s Regulations, the various schemes through their Trustees can formulate their own Investment Policy Statements (IPS) to Act as a guideline on how much to invest in the asset option and assist the trustees in monitoring and evaluating the performance of the Fund. However, the Investment Policy Statements often vary depending on risk-return profile and expectations mainly determined by factors such as the scheme’s demography and the economic outlook.
The Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) regulations also emphasize the importance of diversification as a key principle in managing pension funds. By setting limits on exposure to specific asset classes, the regulations mitigate the risks associated with market volatility, ensuring that no single investment disproportionately affects the scheme's overall performance. Trustees are required to regularly review and update their Investment Policy Statements (IPS) to reflect changes in market conditions, economic dynamics, and the evolving needs of the scheme's members. This proactive approach not only aligns the investment strategy with the scheme’s objectives but also enhances accountability and transparency in fund management, safeguarding members’ retirement savings. The table below represents how the retirement benefits schemes have invested their funds in the past:
Cytonn Report: Kenyan Pension Funds’ Assets Allocation |
||||||||||||||
Asset Class |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
HY’2024 |
Average |
Limit |
|
Government Securities |
31.0% |
29.8% |
38.3% |
36.5% |
39.4% |
42.0% |
44.7% |
45.7% |
45.8% |
47.5% |
51.1% |
41.1% |
90.0% |
|
Quoted Equities |
26.0% |
23.0% |
17.4% |
19.5% |
17.3% |
17.6% |
15.6% |
16.5% |
13.7% |
8.4% |
8.8% |
16.7% |
70.0% |
|
Immovable Property |
17.0% |
18.5% |
19.5% |
21.0% |
19.7% |
18.5% |
18.0% |
16.5% |
15.8% |
14.0% |
11.9% |
17.3% |
30.0% |
|
Guaranteed Funds |
11.0% |
12.2% |
14.2% |
13.2% |
14.4% |
15.5% |
16.5% |
16.8% |
18.9% |
20.8% |
20.5% |
15.8% |
100.0% |
|
Listed Corporate Bonds |
6.0% |
5.9% |
5.1% |
3.9% |
3.5% |
1.4% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.5% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
2.5% |
20.0% |
|
Fixed Deposits |
5.0% |
6.8% |
2.7% |
3.0% |
3.1% |
3.0% |
2.8% |
1.8% |
2.7% |
4.8% |
2.7% |
3.5% |
30.0% |
|
Offshore |
2.0% |
0.9% |
0.8% |
1.2% |
1.1% |
0.5% |
0.8% |
1.3% |
0.9% |
1.6% |
2.0% |
1.2% |
15.0% |
|
Cash |
1.0% |
1.4% |
1.4% |
1.2% |
1.1% |
1.2% |
0.9% |
0.6% |
1.1% |
1.5% |
1.2% |
1.1% |
5.0% |
|
Unquoted Equities |
0.0% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.4% |
5.0% |
|
Private Equity |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
10.0% |
|
REITs |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.6% |
0.1% |
30.0% |
|
Commercial Paper, non-listed bonds by private companies |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
10.0% |
|
Others e.g. unlisted commercial papers |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.2% |
- |
0.0% |
0.0% |
10.0% |
|
Total |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
Source: Retirement Benefits Authority
Key Take-outs from the table above are;
The chart below shows the allocation by pension schemes on the three major asset classes over the years:
Source: RBA Industry report
According to the ACTSERV Q3’2024 Pension Schemes Investments Performance Survey, the ten-year average return for segregated schemes over the period 2015 to 2024 was 7.7% with the performance fluctuating over the years to a high of 18.7% in 2017 and a low of 1.4% in 2015 reflective of the markets performance. Notably, segregated retirement benefits scheme returns increased to 0.4% return in Q3’2024, up from the 2.9% loss recorded in Q3’2023. The y/y growth in overall returns was largely driven by the 3.0% points increase in returns from Offshore investments to 4.7% from 1.7% in Q3’2023 as well as the 2.1% gain from equities attributable to the positive returns realized from the banking sector stocks. This was however a 6.2% points decline from the overall return of 6.6% recorded in Q2’2024. The chart below shows the performance of segregated pension schemes since 2013:
Source: ACTSERV Survey Reports (Segregated Schemes)
The key take-outs from the graph include:
The survey covered the performance of asset classes in three broad categories: Fixed Income, Equity, Offshore, and Overall Return.
Below is a table showing the third quarter performances over the period 2020-2024:
Cytonn Report: Quarterly Performance of Asset Classes (2020 – 2024) |
||||||
|
Q3'2020 |
Q3'2021 |
Q3'2022 |
Q3’2023 |
Q3'2024 |
Average |
Offshore |
11.3% |
1.9% |
(2.8%) |
1.7% |
4.7% |
3.4% |
Equity |
5.1% |
5.2% |
6.3% |
(10.4%) |
2.1% |
1.7% |
Fixed Income |
4.0% |
2.9% |
2.3% |
(1.5%) |
0.04% |
1.5% |
Overall Return |
4.2% |
3.4% |
3.0% |
(2.9%) |
0.4% |
1.6% |
Source: ACTSERV Surveys
Key take-outs from the table above include;
Other Asset Classes that Retirement Benefit Schemes Can Leverage on
Retirement benefits schemes have for a long time skewed their investments towards traditional assets, mostly, government securities and the equities market, averaging 57.8% as of 30th June 2024, leaving only 42.2% for the other asset classes. In the asset allocation, alternative investments that include immovable property, private equity as well as Real Estate Investments Trusts (REITs) account for an average of only 17.5% against the total allowable limit of 70.0%. This is despite the fact that these asset classes such as REITs offer benefits such as low-cost exposure to Real Estate and tax incentives hence the potential for better returns. It is vital to note, however, that in HY’2024 the second largest increase in allocation was recorded in investments in private equity by 63.3% to 8.8 bn from 5.4 bn recorded in HY’2023. This is partly attributable to favourable interest rates following monetary policy adjustments creating conducive conditions for private equity investments by reducing the cost of financing and encouraging long-term investments in high-growth sectors. Allocation to immovable property decreased by 4.1% to Kshs 236.3 bn in HY’2024 from Kshs 246.3 bn in HY’2023, while investments in Real Estate Investments Trusts increased by 4.5% to Kshs 11.1 bn in HY’2024 from Kshs 10.6 bn in HY’2023
The graph below shows the y/y change in allocation to the various asset classes;
Source: RBA Industry Report
However, in terms of overall asset allocation, alternative investments still lagged way behind the other asset classes, as demonstrated in the graph below;
Source: RBA Industry Report
We believe that Alternative Investments including REITs would play a big role in improving the performance of retirement benefits schemes;
Alternative Investments (Immovable Property, Private Equity and REITs)
Alternative Investments refers to investments that are supplemental strategies to traditional long-only positions in equities, bonds, and cash. They differ from traditional investments on the basis of complexity, liquidity, and regulations and can invest in immovable property, private equity, and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) to a limit of 70.0% exposure. We believe that Alternative Investments, including REITs, would play a significant role in improving the performance of retirement benefits schemes by providing opportunities for higher returns and enhanced portfolio resilience.
Alternative Investments, such as immovable property, private equity, and REITs, offer not only diversification and competitive long-term returns but also the potential to hedge against inflation. Investments in real assets like immovable property and REITs often benefit from inflationary environments, as property values and rental incomes tend to rise with inflation. Additionally, private equity provides access to high-growth sectors, such as technology and renewable energy, which are less correlated to traditional market movements, offering an attractive risk-adjusted return profile.
Furthermore, REITs in Kenya, particularly Development and Income REITs, present unique opportunities for retirement schemes. They provide exposure to the real estate sector without the liquidity constraints and management challenges associated with direct property ownership. As the Kenyan real estate market continues to mature and regulatory frameworks for REITs improve, these instruments are becoming more viable for retirement funds seeking stable, inflation-protected income streams and long-term growth. By strategically allocating a portion of their portfolio to alternative investments, retirement schemes can enhance overall returns while safeguarding members' contributions against market volatility.
Section III: Factors Influencing the Growth of Retirement Benefit Schemes
The retirement benefit scheme industry in Kenya has registered significant growth in the past 10 years with assets under management growing at a CAGR of 9.4% to Kshs 1.7 tn in FY’2023, from Kshs 0.7 tn in 2013. The growth is attributable to:
Section IV: Challenges that Have Hindered the Growth of Retirement Benefit Schemes
Despite the expansion of the Retirement Benefit industry, several challenges continue to hinder its growth. Key factors include:
Section V: Recommendations to Enhance the Growth and Penetration of Retirement Benefit Schemes in Kenya
These recommendations will definitely foster sustainable growth in Kenya's retirement benefit schemes by addressing some of the structural challenges that currently hinder the sector's potential.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this publication are those of the writers where particulars are not warranted. This publication, which is in compliance with Section 2 of the Capital Markets Authority Act Cap 485A, is meant for general information only and is not a warranty, representation, advice, or solicitation of any nature. Readers are advised in all circumstances to seek the advice of a registered investment advisor.