Feb 5, 2023
Unit Trust Funds (UTFs) are Collective Investment Schemes that pool funds from different investors and are managed by professional fund managers. The fund managers invest the pooled funds in a portfolio of securities such as equity stocks, bonds or any authorized financial securities, with the aim of generating returns to meet the specific objectives of the fund. Following the release of the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) Quarterly Statistical Bulletin-Q4’2022, we analyze the performance of Unit Trust Funds, whose total Assets Under Management (AUM) have been steadily increasing, being among the most popular investment options in the Kenyan market. We will further analyze the performance of Money Market Funds, a product under Unit Trust Funds.
In our previous focus on Unit Trust Funds, we looked at the Q2’2022 Unit Trust Funds Performance by Fund Managers, where we highlighted that their AUM stood at Kshs 145.8 bn, a 3.6% increase from Kshs 140.7 bn recorded in Q1’2022. In this topical, we focus on the Q3’2022 performance of Unit Trust Funds where we shall analyze the following:
Section I: Performance of the Unit Trust Funds Industry
Unit Trust Funds are investment schemes that pool funds from investors and are managed by professional Fund Managers. The fund manager invests the pooled funds with the aim of generating returns in line with the specific objectives of the fund. The Unit Trust Funds earn returns in the form of dividends, interest income, rent and/or capital gains depending on the underlying security. The main types of Unit Trust Funds include:
As per the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) Quarterly Statistical Bulletin-Q4’2022, the industry’s overall Assets under Management (AUM) grew by 7.0% on a quarter on quarter basis to Kshs 155.9 bn as at the end of Q3’2022 from Kshs 145.8 bn recorded in Q2’2022. Similarly, on a y/y basis, the total AUM increased by 23.7% to Kshs 155.9 bn as at the end of Q3’2022, from Kshs 126.0 bn as at the end of Q3’2021. Key to note, Assets under Management of the Unit Trust Funds have registered an upward trajectory over the last five years, growing at a 5-year CAGR of 22.7% to Kshs 155.9 bn in Q3’2022, from Kshs 56.0 bn recorded in Q3’2017. The chart below shows the growth in Unit Trust Funds’ AUM;
Source: Capital Markets Authority Quarterly Statistical bulletins
The growth can be largely attributed to:
Source: CBK
According to the Capital Markets Authority, as at the end of Q3’2022, there were 32 Collective Investment Schemes (CISs) in Kenya, remaining unchanged from 32 recorded at the end of Q2’2022, but an 18.5% y/y increase from 27 recorded at the end of Q3’2021. Out of the 32, 20, equivalent to 62.5% were active while 12 (37.5%) were inactive. The table below outlines the performance of the Collective Investment Schemes comparing Q3’2022 and Q2’2022:
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Cytonn Report: Assets Under Management (AUM) for the Approved Collective Investment Schemes |
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No. |
Collective Investment Schemes |
Q2’2022 AUM |
Q2’2022 |
Q3'2022 AUM |
Q3’2022 |
AUM Growth |
(Kshs mns) |
Market Share |
(Kshs mns) |
Market Share |
Q2'2022 –Q3'2022 |
||
1 |
CIC Unit Trust Scheme |
57,126.4 |
39.2% |
60,579.0 |
38.9% |
6.0% |
2 |
NCBA Unit Trust Scheme |
20,152.1 |
13.8% |
23,687.8 |
15.2% |
17.5% |
3 |
ICEA Unit Trust Scheme |
14,317.7 |
9.8% |
14,939.0 |
9.6% |
4.3% |
4 |
Sanlam Unit Trust Scheme |
12,676.3 |
8.7% |
14,542.6 |
9.3% |
14.7% |
5 |
British American Unit Trust Scheme |
13,868.3 |
9.5% |
13,439.1 |
8.6% |
(3.1%) |
6 |
Old Mutual Unit Trust Scheme |
6,883.6 |
4.7% |
7,363.3 |
4.7% |
7.0% |
7 |
Dry Associates Unit Trust |
3,611.9 |
2.5% |
3,849.3 |
2.5% |
6.6% |
8 |
Coop Unit Trust Scheme |
3,725.4 |
2.6% |
3,341.6 |
2.1% |
(10.3%) |
9 |
Nabo Capital Ltd |
3,016.0 |
2.1% |
3,158.7 |
2.0% |
4.7% |
10 |
Madison Asset Unit Trust Funds |
2,734.3 |
1.9% |
2,806.8 |
1.8% |
2.7% |
11 |
Zimele Unit Trust Scheme |
2,297.4 |
1.6% |
2,485.3 |
1.6% |
8.2% |
12 |
ABSA Unit Trust Scheme |
1,048.1 |
0.7% |
1,536.3 |
1.0% |
46.6% |
13 |
African Alliance Kenya Unit Trust Scheme |
1,743.4 |
1.2% |
1,476.6 |
0.9% |
(15.3%) |
14 |
Apollo Unit Trust Scheme |
730.5 |
0.5% |
809.5 |
0.5% |
10.8% |
15 |
Cytonn Unit Trust Fund |
771.4 |
0.5% |
795.7 |
0.5% |
3.1% |
16 |
Genghis Unit Trust Funds |
575.1 |
0.4% |
626.4 |
0.4% |
8.9% |
17 |
Orient Collective Investment Scheme |
262.0 |
0.2% |
247.9 |
0.2% |
(5.4%) |
18 |
Equity Investment Bank |
199.5 |
0.1% |
189.3 |
0.1% |
(5.1%) |
19 |
Amana Unit Trust Funds |
27.3 |
0.0% |
27.8 |
0.0% |
1.9% |
20 |
Wanafunzi |
0.7 |
0.0% |
0.7 |
0.0% |
1.0% |
21 |
Genghis Specialized Funds |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
22 |
Standard Investments Bank |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
23 |
Diaspora Unit Trust Scheme |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
24 |
Dyer and Blair Unit Trust Scheme |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
25 |
Jaza Unit Trust Fund |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
26 |
Masaru Unit Trust Fund |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
27 |
Adam Unit Trust Fund |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
28 |
First Ethical Opportunities Fund |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
29 |
Natbank Unit Trust Scheme |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
30 |
GenAfrica Unit Trust Scheme |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
31 |
Amaka Unit Trust (Umbrella) Scheme |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
32 |
Mali Money Market Fund |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
145,767.5 |
100.0% |
155,902.6 |
100.0% |
7.0% |
Source: Capital Markets Authority: Quarterly Statistical Bulletin, Q4’2022, and CMA October 2022 List of Licensees
Key take outs from the above table include:
Key to note, Mali Money Market Fund became fully operational in November 2022 following the release of the updated terms and conditions of Mali M-pesa menu, and,
Section II: Spread of Investments
Money Market Funds (MMFs) have gained popularity in Kenya with MMFs accounting for Kshs 121.3 bn out of the Kshs 155.9 bn managed by Collective Investments Schemes as at end of Q3’2022, equivalent to 77.8%, which is the largest share of investments allocation by the Collective Investment Schemes. Further, this translates to a 6.4% y/y increase from Kshs 114.0 bn recorded as at end of Q3’2021. The popularity of MMFs is driven by the ease in investing in terms of time and requirements, coupled with the higher returns they offer compared to the returns on bank deposits and treasury bills. The table below shows investment allocations of the different funds comparing Q3’2021 and Q3’2022:
Cytonn Report: Investment Allocation in Different Funds |
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Item |
Sep-21 |
Q3'2021 Investment Share |
Jun-22 |
Q2'2022 Investment Share |
Sep-22 |
Q3'2022 Investment Share |
Money Market Funds |
114.0 |
90.3% |
113.9 |
78.5% |
121.3 |
77.8% |
Fixed Income Funds |
2.1 |
1.7% |
19.4 |
13.4% |
21.2 |
13.6% |
Equity Funds |
3.6 |
2.8% |
3.0 |
2.1% |
3.0 |
1.9% |
Other funds |
6.5 |
5.2% |
8.7 |
6.0% |
10.4 |
6.7% |
Total |
126.0 |
100.0% |
145.8 |
100.0% |
155.9 |
100.0% |
*All amounts in Kshs bns unless indicated otherwise
Source: CMA Q3’2022 Collective Investment Schemes Statistical bulletin
Key take outs from the table above include:
In terms of UTFs’ distribution of investments by asset classes, the Fixed income segment had the largest share of investments, with Q3’2022 coming in at a total of Kshs 121.7 bn, equivalent to 78.1% of the total investments. Investments in Government securities constituted Kshs 58.4 bn (37.5%) while Fixed Deposits had Kshs 63.3 bn (40.6%). The concentration of investments on the fixed income assets highlights the lack of diversification of investments and the overreliance on one investment asset class. The table below shows the distribution of investments into various asset classes:
Cytonn Report: Q3'2022 Distribution of Investments in terms of Asset Classes (Kshs bn) |
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Asset Class |
Sep-21 |
Q3’2021 % |
Jun-22 |
Q2’2022 % |
Sep-22 |
Q3’2022 % |
y/y Change |
Government securities |
51.8 |
41.1% |
66.1 |
45.6% |
58.4 |
37.5% |
(3.6%) |
Fixed Deposits |
55.5 |
44.0% |
62.9 |
43.4% |
63.3 |
40.6% |
(3.4%) |
Nairobi Stock Exchange (NSE) Listed Securities |
8.7 |
6.9% |
6.1 |
4.2% |
19.6 |
12.6% |
5.7% |
Cash and Demand Deposits |
5.7 |
4.5% |
4.4 |
3.0% |
5.4 |
3.5% |
(1.1%) |
Other securities not listed at the NSE |
3.3 |
2.6% |
2.9 |
2.0% |
6.3 |
4.0% |
1.5% |
Other collective investments schemes |
0.7 |
0.6% |
1.6 |
1.1% |
1.2 |
0.8% |
0.2% |
Off-shore investments |
0.5 |
0.4% |
0.5 |
0.3% |
1.2 |
0.8% |
0.4% |
Total |
126.0 |
100.0% |
145.8 |
100.0% |
155.9 |
100.0% |
Source: CMA
Section III: Performance of Money Market Funds
According to the Central Bank of Kenya data, the average deposit rate increased by 20.0 bps to 6.8% in Q3’2022 from 6.6% recorded in Q2’2022. During the period under review, the 91-Day T-bill and the average deposit rate continued to offer lower yields, with the average yields for the month of September 2022 coming in at 8.9% and 6.8%, respectively, compared to September’s average MMF yield of 9.2%. Notably, the increased return on the 91-day T-bill at 8.9% comes on the back of an upward adjustment in the yield curve, with investors demanding higher compensation for the perceived risks in the country driven by high inflation and currency depreciation. The graph below shows the performance of the Money Market Fund to other short-term financial instruments:
Source: Central Bank of Kenya, Cytonn Research
As per the regulations, funds in MMFs should be invested in short-term liquid interest-bearing securities with an average tenor to maturity of 18 months of less. The short-term securities include bank deposits, fixed income securities listed on the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) and securities issued by the Government of Kenya. The Money Market funds are best suited for investors who require a low-risk investment that offers capital stability, liquidity, and require a high-income yield. The fund is also a good safe haven for investors who wish to switch from a higher risk portfolio to a low risk portfolio, especially in times of uncertainty.
Top Five Money Market Funds by Yields
During the quarter under review, the following Money Market Funds had the highest average effective annual yield declared, with the Cytonn Money Market Fund having the highest effective annual yield at 10.6% against the industry Q3’2022 average of 9.1%.
Cytonn Report: Top 5 Money Market Fund Yields in Q3'2022 |
||
Rank |
Money Market Fund |
Effective Annual Rate (Average Q3'2022) |
1 |
Cytonn Money Market Fund |
10.6% |
2 |
Zimele Money Market Fund |
9.9% |
3 |
Sanlam Money Market Fund |
9.5% |
4 |
Nabo Africa Money Market Fund |
9.5% |
5 |
Dry Associates Money Market Fund |
9.3% |
Average of Top 5 Money Market Funds |
9.7% |
|
|
Industry average |
9.1% |
Source: Cytonn Research
Section IV: Comparison between Unit Trust Funds AUM Growth and other Markets
Unit Trust Funds’ assets recorded a q/q growth of 7.0% in Q3’2022, while the listed bank deposits recorded a slower growth of 1.6% over the same period. For the Unit Trust Funds, the growth of 7.0% remained unchanged, similar to what was recorded in Q3’2021. On the other hand, for the bank deposits, the growth of 1.6% was a 1.3% points decline compared to the growth of 2.9% recorded in Q3’2021, respectively. The chart below highlights the Unit Trust Funds AUM growth vs bank deposits growth over the last five years;
Source: Cytonn Research
The Unit Trust Funds’ (UTF) growth has outpaced the listed banking sector’s deposit growth with Q3’2022 growth coming in at 7.0% against 1.6% growth for listed banking sector’s deposit. We note that while the Unit Trust Funds’ growth has been higher as shown in the graph above, Kenya’s capital market remains constrained, driven by overreliance on the banking sector for funding. According to the World Bank data, in developed economies, businesses rely on bank funding for 40.0% of the funding; with the larger percentage of funding at 60.0% coming from the Capital markets. However, closer home, the World Bank noted that businesses in Kenya relied on banks for 99.0% of their funding while less than 1.0% comes from the capital markets, an indication of constraints in our capital markets. Notably, our Mutual Funds/UTFs to GDP ratio for Q3’2022 came in at 1.1%, similar to what was recorded as at end of Q2’2022, remaining significantly very low compared to an average of 57.3% amongst select global markets. Additionally, Sub-Saharan African countries such as South Africa and Namibia have higher mutual funds to GDP ratios of 61.5% and 43.1%, respectively as at end of 2021, compared to Kenya’s 1.1% depicting that Kenya’s UTF industry suffers from low penetration rate, driven by an underdeveloped capital market. As such, we still have room to improve and enhance our capital markets. The chart below shows some countries’ mutual funds as a percentage of GDP:
Source: World Bank Data
Over the past 5 years, Unit Trust Funds (UTFs) AUM has exhibited positive performance, with the Unit Trust Funds AUM having grown at a 5-year CAGR of 22.7% to Kshs 155.9 bn in Q3’2022, from Kshs 56.0 bn recorded in Q3’2017. However, even at Kshs 155.9 bn, the industry is overshadowed by asset gatherers such as bank deposits at Kshs 4.4 tn and the pension industry at Kshs 1.5 tn as of Q3’2022. Below is a graph showing the sizes of different saving channels and capital market products in Kenya as at September 2022;
*Data as of December 2021
Source: CMA, RBA, CBK, SASRA Annual Reports and REITs Financial Statements
Comparing other Capital Markets products like REITS, Kenya still has a lot of room for improvement. The listed REITs capitalization as a percentage of total market cap in Kenya stands at a paltry 0.1%, as compared to 3.3% in the United States (US) and 1.6% in South Africa, as of 3rd February 2023. Below is a graph showing comparison of Kenya’s REITs to Market Cap Ratio to that of US and South Africa:
Source: Online research, Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE)
Section V: Recommendations
Notably, we commend the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) for the gazettement of the Investment-based Crowdfunding Regulations 2022 on 30th September 2022 as the regulations now allow for proper licensing, authorizing and regulating of the all crowdfunding platforms and operators. As such, the regulations will enable crowdfunding platforms to operate within a distinguished legal framework while at the same time providing adequate security and assurance to investors. As highlighted in our Cytonn Weekly #43/2022, we note that the move will help boost investor confidence in Kenya’s capital market. Additionally, the Capital Markets Authority reduced the annual regulatory fee for crowdfunding platforms by 50.0% to Kshs 100,000.0 from the previous Kshs 200,000.0 and consequently reducing the cost of managing such platforms. The move acts as an incentive to operators within the Capital market. While the aforementioned regulations are a step in the right direction, we believe that more needs to be done to propel Unit Trust Funds (UTFs) performance in Kenya.
In order to improve our Capital Markets and stimulate UTFs growth, we recommend the following actions:
In May 2022, the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) publicized the Draft Capital Markets Public Offers Listing and Disclosures Regulations 2022, meant to replace the Public Offers Listing and Disclosures Regulations 2002, which have been in effect since 2002, with the only amendments done in 2016. The Draft Regulations main objective is to create a more favorable environment in Kenya’s Capital Markets so as to encourage more listings on the Nairobi Securities Exchange. As highlighted in our Cytonn weekly#18/2022, we anticipate that more corporations and State Owned Enterprises will take advantage of this opportunity and seek capital markets funding through IPOs, which will further increase the percentage of funding for businesses provided by the Capital Markets. Additionally, In June 2022, the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) published the final draft regulations; Capital Markets (Collective Investment Schemes) Regulations 2022 and the Capital Markets (Alternative Investment Funds) Regulations 2022. Given the changes in market dynamics, the proposed regulations seek to update the current Collective Investment Scheme and Alternative Investment Funds Regulations while also addressing emerging issues.
We believe that in order to further spur the growth of UTFs in Kenya, there is a need to leverage more on innovation, digitization and product development in the capital markets given the high internet and mobile (SIM) subscription rates at 48.5 mn and 65.5 mn, respectively as at end of September 2022. Moreover, due to the high demand for innovative and convenient products by consumers in the retail money market, the use of technology as a distribution channel for mutual fund products opens up the funds to the retail segment. Furthermore, instead of restricting UTF growth and diversification, regulators should encourage and facilitate it. This will boost the development of the capital markets and encourage the entry of new players.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this publication are those of the writers where particulars are not warranted. This publication, which is in compliance with Section 2 of the Capital Markets Authority Act Cap 485A, is meant for general information only and is not a warranty, representation, advice or solicitation of any nature. Readers are advised in all circumstances to seek the advice of a registered investment advisor.