Jun 9, 2024
Following the release of the FY’2023 results by all four authorized Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in Kenya, the Cytonn Real Estate Research Team undertook an analysis of the financial performance of the REITs and identified the key factors that shaped the performance of the sector. For the earnings notes of the various REITs, click the links below:
The report is themed “Strategies for Advancing Kenya's REIT Market,” where we discuss the background and structure of REITs in Kenya, and assess the financial performance of the current REITs in the market during FY’2023 in terms of operational metrics, profitability metrics, leverage ratios, liquidity ratios, and valuation metrics. In addition, we highlight the outlook regarding our expectations for the REITs sector going forward. This we will cover as follows;
Section I: Overview of the REITs Sector in Kenya
Kenya's Real Estate sector has played a vital role in the nation's GDP, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.5% over the past five years. In Q3’2023, the sector expanded by 5.4%, reaching Kshs 785.9 bn, up from Kshs 743.4 bn in the same period of 2022. This growth underscores the sector's increasing significance, with its contribution to the national GDP rising to 10.5% from 10.0% in the previous quarter. Several factors have driven this growth, including: i) the government's sustained focus on affordable housing, ii) aggressive expansion strategies by local and international retailers, iii) rapid population and urbanization growth, iv) the reopening and expansion of the hospitality sector amid economic recovery, v) increased investor confidence, vi) the Kenya Mortgage Refinance Company's (KMRC) ongoing efforts to boost homeownership through long-term, low-interest home loans, vii) a growing demand for Mixed-Use Developments (MUDs) due to their convenience, and, viii) continuous infrastructure improvements across the country creating new investment opportunities.
Despite the aforementioned cushioning factors, several challenges hinder the optimal performance of the Real Estate sector. These challenges include rising construction costs, an existing oversupply of physical space in certain sectors, and difficulties in accessing financing due to elevated credit risk and increasing interest rates. Supporting this, gross Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) in the Real Estate sector surged by 26.7%, reaching Kshs 101.7 mn from Kshs 80.3 mn in Q4’2022. To mitigate this funding shortfall, stakeholders in the Real Estate sector have been actively seeking alternative financing options, such as Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). The Capital Markets Authority (CMA) established a comprehensive framework and regulations for REITs in 2013, allowing developers to raise capital through this mechanism.
The growth of Kenya's Real Estate sector is driven by ongoing construction activities fueled by significant demand for real estate developments. The residential market faces an 80.0% housing deficit, with only 50,000 units supplied annually against a demand for 200,000 units per year. Additionally, the formal retail market remains in its early stages, with a penetration rate of about 30.0%, according to the Nielsen Report 2018. Despite the high demand in the Real Estate market, developers face limited funding options. Kenyan banks are the primary funding source for real estate development, providing nearly 95.0% of construction financing compared to 40.0% in developed countries. The graph below illustrates the comparison of construction financing in Kenya versus developed economies;
Source: World Bank, Capital Markets Authority (CMA)
As a result, alternative financing solutions for developers are necessary to address this funding gap. In 2013, the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) established a framework for the operationalization of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in Kenya. REITs are regulated collective investment vehicles that allow the pooling of money in exchange for acquiring rights or interests in a trust, which is divided into units. The goal is for investors to earn profits or income from real estate as beneficiaries of the trust. To protect the interests of a REIT and promote transparency and accountability, four key entities are integral to the REIT structure in Kenya. These entities are as follows:
The relationship between key parties in a typical REIT structure is depicted in the figure below;
Source: Capital Markets Authority (CMA)
Since its inception in 2013, the Kenyan REIT market has remained subdued due to several challenges. These include the substantial capital requirement of Kshs 100.0 mn for trustees, which restricts this role primarily to banks, a lengthy approval process for REIT creation, high minimum investment amounts set at Kshs 5.0 mn that deter investors, and insufficient investor awareness and understanding of this financial asset class. Notably, REIT market capitalization in Kenya remains significantly lower compared to other jurisdictions as shown below;
Source: European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA), World Bank
The REITs challenge is further compounded by Kenya’s underdeveloped capital markets as compared to other African countries such as South Africa. Currently, there exists only one listed REIT in the country, albeit one that is not actively trading. The above indicates a sector that has remained moribund since REIT regulations were put in place in 2013. Due to this, most property developers rely on conventional sources of funding such as banks, compared to other developed countries. Following the establishment of REIT regulations in 2013, four REITs were approved in the Kenyan market, all designed as closed-ended funds with a fixed number of shares. Currently, none of these REITs are actively trading on the Main Investments Market Segment of the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE). After the recent delisting of ILAM Fahari I-REIT, LAPTrust Imara I-REIT is the only listed REIT in the country, quoted on the restricted market sub-segment of the Main Investment Market of the NSE. However, it is important to note that Imara did not raise funds upon listing. Acorn I-REIT and D-REIT are not listed but trade on the Unquoted Securities Platform (USP), an over-the-counter market segment of the NSE. The table below highlights all the REITs authorized by the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) in Kenya;
Cytonn Report: Authorized REITs in Kenya |
||||||
# |
Issuer |
Name |
Type of REIT |
Listing Date |
Market Segment |
Status |
1 |
ICEA Lion Asset Management (ILAM) |
Fahari |
I-REIT |
October 2015 |
Main Investment Market |
Delisted on 12th February 2024 |
2 |
Acorn Holdings Limited |
Acorn Student Accommodation (ASA) – Acorn ASA |
I-REIT |
February 2021 |
Unquoted Securities Platform (USP) |
Trading |
3 |
Acorn Holdings Limited |
Acorn Student Accommodation (ASA) – Acorn ASA |
D-REIT |
February 2021 |
Unquoted Securities Platform (USP) |
Trading |
4 |
Local Authorities Pension Trust (LAPTrust) |
Imara |
I-REIT |
March 2023 |
Main Investment Market: Restricted Sub-segment |
Restricted |
Source: Nairobi Securities Exchange, CMA
Section II: Themes that Shaped the REIT Sector in FY’2023
In this section, we delve into the pivotal themes that have profoundly influenced the REITs sector to the period FY’2023. Exploring the dynamic landscape, we analyze the impact of regulations, acquisitions, and capital raising activities on the trajectory of the REIT industry as we gain insights into the broader factors impacting the performance and direction of the REIT sector during this period.
REITs are formally established in accordance with regulations set forth for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and granted approval by the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) under the Capital Markets Real Estate Investment Trusts Collective Investment Schemes Regulations of 2013. Instead of taking the form of conventional companies, they are structured as trusts. The management of investment properties falls under the purview of a corporate REIT manager, licensed by the CMA. Units of listed REITs are traded on the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE), akin to shares of any other company listed on both the Main Market Segment and the Unquoted Security Platform (USP), providing investors with a liquid stake in Real Estate. Both individual and corporate investors have the opportunity to partake in a public offering on the NSE, as outlined in the Regulations of 2013.
Furthermore, the regulations stipulate that Kenyan REITs are mandated to distribute a minimum of 80.0% of distributable earnings to their unitholders. REITs automatically qualify for several tax exemptions such as the Income Tax Act (ITA), Value Added Tax (VAT), and Capital Gains Tax (CGT) under the authorization of the Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA). Some of the recent regulatory transformations in the REITs industry include;
Section 20 (1) (c) and (d) of the Income Tax Act (ITA) stipulates that upon registration with the Commissioner of Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA), both REITs and the companies they invest in are exempt from the standard 30.0% Income Tax Rate (ITR). Additionally, any income distributed by REITs to their investors (unitholders) is not subject to taxation. However, it is important to note that this tax exemption does not extend to the withholding tax imposed on interest income and dividends received by unitholders who are not exempted as per the first schedule of the ITA. The rates for this withholding tax can be found in paragraph 5 of the third schedule of the Income Tax Act.
A capital gain arises when the value of a unit upon transfer exceeds its adjusted cost. The disparity between these values is liable to a tax rate of 15.0%. Consequently, any profits made by a promoter or investors of a REIT from transferring property into the REIT are now subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT) at the revised rate of 15.0%, supplanting the previous rate of 5.0% effective from 1 January 2023. Additionally, individuals holding units in a REIT who opt to sell their ownership stake are also required to remit CGT. This stipulation emerged following an amendment to Section 34 (1) (j) of the Income Tax Act through the Finance Act 2022.
However, within the REIT industry, there are certain scenarios that qualify for exemptions from CGT:
The Finance Act 2021 reinstated a significant alteration concerning the exemption from Value Added Tax (VAT) for transactions involving the transfer of assets to REITs and asset-backed securities. This exemption had previously been rescinded by the Tax Laws Amendment Act No. 2 of 2020. In line with Paragraph 33 of Part II of the First Schedule to the VAT Act 2021, a direct transfer of property from the REIT promoter or investors is not subject to VAT. However, if the transfer of assets to the REIT occurs indirectly, through the initial transfer of assets to the investee company, VAT will apply. It is noteworthy that the transfer of shares from a REITs SPV to the REIT trustee will be exempt from VAT, regardless of whether the initial asset transfer involved VAT.
In accordance with the regulations outlined in section 96A of the Stamp Duty Act, when properties within a Development REIT (D-REIT) reach completion and commence generating stable income, any subsequent transfer of these stabilized properties from the D-REIT to the Income REIT (I-REIT) is exempt from stamp duty. However, it is crucial to note that this exemption was only applicable to transactions completed before 31 December 2022. Therefore, starting from 1 January 2023, any transfers are subject to stamp duty as per section 96A subsection 4 of the act.
The intricate nature of these regulations within the REITs, coupled with the complex rules governing REITs, presents challenges for individuals to navigate and fully comprehend. Consequently, potential investors and stakeholders may feel uncertain about the tax implications of their actions within the REIT framework. This uncertainty can foster skepticism about the fairness and reliability of the investment environment, potentially dissuading them from capitalizing on lucrative opportunities.
Furthermore, the lack of sufficient information available to the public about these REIT regulations exacerbates the problem. When individuals are not adequately informed about the tax consequences of their investment decisions, they may avoid making investments altogether or may not make informed choices, which could impact their financial gains.
Looking ahead, we anticipate that both the government and stakeholders in the REITs sector will address these regulatory concerns and promote enhanced transparency and trust within the REIT sector through various measures, including: i) prioritizing the accessibility and clarity of information for the broader public to gain a better understanding of the potential impact of their investment decisions, ii) launching educational campaigns and providing resources dedicated to informing investors about relevant regulations and any changes in the law, iii) encouraging collaboration between regulatory authorities and industry stakeholders to raise public awareness about the benefits and potential drawbacks associated with REIT investment, iv) providing clear and easily understandable documentation outlining the tax implications associated with different investment scenarios, and v) establishing consultation services to allow investors to seek expert advice on tax-related aspects of REIT investments, thereby alleviating reservations and uncertainties.
Acquisitions play a pivotal role in the dynamic landscape of the Kenyan REITs industry. These strategic moves signify the industry's evolution, adaptability, sustainability, and growth potential. As of December 2023, the industry has witnessed noteworthy acquisitions that are reshaping the sector. These acquisitions hold a promising outlook for the industry, contributing to its progress and value proposition. They exemplify how REITs are actively enhancing their portfolios, expanding their market presence, and optimizing their performance. Some of the notable acquisitions as at FY’2023 include;
Looking ahead, we anticipate that the pattern of strategic acquisitions will continue, with REITs actively pursuing opportunities to expand and diversify their portfolios, address changing market needs, and lead efforts to promote environmental sustainability, as demonstrated by Acorn Holding's issuance of green bonds. These acquisitions can also serve as drivers for innovation, encouraging the industry to explore novel concepts, designs, and services to meet the requirements of both investors and tenants.
Raising capital is essential in the REITs industry, fueling growth, development, and innovation. Securing funds from diverse sources, whether through debt or equity, enables REITs to expand their portfolios, improve existing properties, and explore new investment opportunities. This practice benefits the REITs and significantly shapes the Real Estate landscape, providing attractive investment options to stakeholders. Some of the notable capital infusion in the REITs industry as of FY’2023 include;
ILAM Fahari I-REIT's delisting from the Main Investment Market Segment (MIMS) of the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) marked a strategic move in response to operational challenges and structural optimization. Following approval from the Capital Markets Authority (CMA), ILAM Fahari embarked on a transition to become a Restricted I-REIT, tailored to target professional investors. The decision to delist ILAM Fahari I-REIT from the unrestricted main investment market segment to the restricted segment reflects both challenges faced by the REIT and its proactive response. Operational hurdles prompted a re-evaluation of its structure and operations, leading to resolutions passed during an Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) in December 2023. Key among these was the proposed conversion to a restricted REIT and subsequent delisting, which garnered significant unitholder support.
Implications of Delisting:
The delisting and conversion strategy aligned with ILAM Fahari’s vision to optimize investments and cater to a specialized investor base. By focusing on professional investors, the REIT aimed to offer tailored investment opportunities, enhance flexibility, and unlock growth potential. While restructuring facilitates operational optimization and capital raising initiatives, it restricts retail investor participation, emphasizing the shift towards high net worth individuals in the REIT market.
Looking ahead, the trend of capital raising will continue to shape the trajectory of the Kenyan REITs industry. The infusion of equity and debt, along with strategic partnerships between private investors and government entities, will be crucial in driving expansion and unlocking new opportunities, such as affordable housing and infrastructure development projects, aligning with market demands and government priorities. As the industry progresses, collaborations, regulatory support, and investor education will play essential roles in ensuring that capital raising yields positive outcomes and propels the Kenyan REITs industry toward a vibrant and sustainable future.
Section III: Summary Performance of the REITs in FY’2023
The tables below highlight the performance of the Kenyan REITs sector, showing the performance using several National Association of Real Estate Investments Trusts (NAREIT) approved metrics, and the key take-outs;
Cytonn Report: Summary Performance Kenya REITs in FY’2023 |
||||||||||||||
Laptrust Imara I-REIT |
ILAM Fahari I-REIT |
Acorn I-REIT |
Acorn D-REIT |
FY'2022 |
FY'2023 |
y/y change |
||||||||
H1'2023 |
FY'2023 |
FY'2022 |
FY'2023 |
y/y Change |
FY'2022 |
FY'2023 |
y/y Change |
FY'2022 |
FY'2023 |
y/y Change |
||||
Operating Metrics |
||||||||||||||
Net Operating Income (NOI) |
99.6 |
244.6 |
141.9 |
148.7 |
4.8% |
206.0 |
340.1 |
65.1% |
657.0 |
368.6 |
(43.9%) |
1,004.9 |
1,102.0 |
9.7% |
Profitability Metrics |
||||||||||||||
Funds from Operations |
99.6 |
57.2 |
(28.4) |
(0.3) |
99.0% |
571.3 |
501.8 |
(12.2%) |
657.0 |
368.6 |
(43.9%) |
1,199.9 |
927.3 |
(22.7%) |
Adjusted FFO |
99.6 |
57.2 |
(45.8) |
(6.1) |
86.7% |
571.3 |
501.8 |
(12.2%) |
657.0 |
368.6 |
(43.9%) |
1,182.4 |
921.5 |
(22.1%) |
Cash Available for Distribution (CAD) |
99.6 |
244.6 |
141.9 |
148.7 |
4.8% |
162.4 |
235.7 |
45.1% |
0.0 |
239.8 |
- |
304.3 |
868.9 |
185.5% |
Cash Amounts Distributed (CAD) |
0.0 |
57.2 |
117.6 |
126.7 |
7.7% |
132.3 |
154.1 |
16.5% |
0.0 |
71.6 |
- |
249.9 |
352.3 |
41.0% |
Valuation Metrics |
||||||||||||||
Net Asset Value (NAV) |
7,024.3 |
6,981.9 |
3,424.4 |
3,306.4 |
(3.4%) |
5,854.3 |
7,377.5 |
26.0% |
6,155.6 |
6,560.9 |
6.6% |
15,434.2 |
24,269.1 |
57.2% |
Source: Cytonn Research
Key takeaways from the table include:
The table below makes a comparison of the leverage and liquidity ratios of all four Kenyan REITs during FY’2023 and FY’2022;
Cytonn Report: Leverage & Liquidity Ratios of Kenyan REITs |
|||||||||||||||
|
Laptrust Imara I-REIT |
ILAM Fahari I-REIT |
Acorn I-REIT |
Acorn D-REIT |
FY'2022* |
FY'2023** |
y/y change |
||||||||
H1'2023 |
FY'2023 |
FY'2022 |
FY'2023 |
y/y Change |
FY'2022 |
FY'2023 |
y/y Change |
FY'2022 |
FY'2023 |
y/y Change |
|||||
Leverage Ratios |
|||||||||||||||
Debt to Equity Ratios |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0% |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0% |
0.6x |
0.2x |
(40.5%) |
0.3x |
0.1x |
(21.2%) |
||
Debt to Total Market Cap Ratio |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
60.1% |
16.0% |
(44.1%) |
27.9% |
5.1% |
(22.8%) |
||
Debt to Gross Book Value Ratio |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
33.8% |
9.4% |
(24.3%) |
15.7% |
3.0% |
(12.7%) |
||
Debt to EBITDA Multiple |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0% |
0.0x |
0.0x |
0.0% |
5.3x |
2.9x |
(45.1%) |
2.5x |
0.9x |
(62.2%) |
||
Liquidity Ratios |
|||||||||||||||
Debt Service Coverage Ratio |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
18.7% |
34.1% |
15.3% |
8.7% |
10.9% |
2.2% |
||
Implied Capitalization Rate |
0.0% |
18.7% |
21.3% |
2.6% |
3.3% |
4.4% |
1.1% |
7.3% |
3.7% |
(3.6%) |
6.6% |
3.7% |
(3.0%) |
||
*Market cap weighted as at 31/12/2022 **Market cap weighted as at 31/12/2023 |
Source: Cytonn Research
Key takeaways from the table include;
The table below presents a summary of key valuation metrics of Kenyan REITs in FY’2023;
Cytonn Report: Valuation Metrics for Kenyan REITs |
||||||||||||||
|
Laptrust Imara I-REIT |
ILAM Fahari I-REIT |
Acorn I-REIT |
Acorn D-REIT |
FY'2022 |
FY'2023 |
y/y change |
|||||||
|
H1'2023 |
FY'2023 |
FY'2022 |
FY'2023 |
y/y Change |
FY'2022 |
FY'2023 |
y/y Change |
FY'2022 |
FY'2023 |
y/y Change |
|||
Price/ FFO per Share |
69.5x |
121.0x |
(41.6x) |
(3,830.5x) |
9,107.9% |
9.7x |
14.2x |
46.1% |
8.9x |
18.3x |
106.3% |
(7.7x) |
(932.1x) |
11,524.7% |
Dividend Yield
|
0.00% |
2.8% |
10.0% |
11.1% |
1.1% |
2.4% |
2.2% |
(0.2%) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
- |
1.2% |
2.2% |
0.9% |
Dividend Coverage/ Payout Ratio |
100.0% |
80.0% |
82.9% |
85.2% |
2.3% |
81.4% |
45.3% |
(36.1%) |
0.0% |
19.4% |
- |
40.7% |
45.3% |
4.6% |
Net Asset Value |
7,024.3 |
6,981.9 |
3424.4 |
3306.4 |
(3.4%) |
5,854.3 |
7,377.5 |
26.0% |
6,155.6 |
6,560.9 |
6.6% |
15,434.2 |
24,269.1 |
57.2% |
Net Asset Value per Share |
20.3 |
20.2 |
18.9 |
18.3 |
(3.4%) |
22.1 |
22.5 |
2.0% |
25.2 |
24.6 |
(2.4%) |
22.1 |
21.4 |
(2.9%) |
Source: Cytonn Research
Section IV: Conclusions, Recommendations, and Outlook for the REITs Sector
The performance of the REITs market in Kenya has followed a moderate trajectory, shaped by various factors. Despite the overall challenges, there are positive signs within the Kenyan REIT sector. Notably, net operating incomes have shown growth, indicating improved financial performance. Additionally, leverage ratios for most REITs remained notably low, with the majority being ungeared and relying on short-term debt for their operations. We expect this trend to continue as REITs aim to avoid overexposure to interest rates, especially in the current environment of rising rates. In support of this, we foresee more developments in financial sustainability, exemplified by key players like Acorn Holdings through its issuance of a green bond. Moreover, we anticipate that the recent regulatory proposal by the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) to lower the minimum investment amounts for professional investors to Kshs 10,000 will boost interest in the sector, potentially attracting a wider investor base.
Based on our research and analysis, we make the following recommendations to enhance the REITs sector through a more informed and strategic approach:
In summary, despite the hurdles encountered in the Kenyan market, the potential of REITs remains promising. These investment instruments offer a means to enhance liquidity and broaden financing options within the Real Estate sector, presenting an alternative avenue for development funding and potential returns for investors. Although Kenya's REIT journey has faced challenges, the proposed adjustments in investment thresholds and the resilience shown in the financial performance of certain REITs indicate a possible revitalization in the sector.
To read the full Cytonn Kenya’s REITs FY’2023 Report, click here.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this publication are those of the writers where particulars are not warranted. This publication, which is in compliance with Section 2 of the Capital Markets Authority Act Cap 485A, is meant for general information only and is not a warranty, representation, advice, or solicitation of any nature. Readers are advised in all circumstances to seek the advice of a registered investment advisor.