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Recent Topicals

Currency Outlook

May 15, 2022

In 2022, the Kenyan shilling has continued with the depreciation trend experienced in 2021 and 2020, with the Kenyan shilling depreciating by 2.6% against the US Dollar (USD) to Kshs 116.1 as of 13th May 2022, from Kshs 113.1 recorded on 3rd January 2022. Key to note, this the lowest the Kenyan shilling has ever traded against the USD. The poor performance of the shilling is mainly attributable to the increased dollar demand by energy and general importers, with Kenya largely being a net importer. Global oil prices have also increased during the year, attributable to the persisting supply chain constraints following the COVID-19 pandemic, worsened by the current global geopolitical tensions following the Russia-Ukraine conflict, coupled with the reopening of economies globally, which has seen demand outpace fuel supply, further inflating the country’s import bill and consequently weakening the shilling. Additionally, Kenya has seen affirmation of its Long...

Status of Infrastructure in the Nairobi Metropolitan Area (NMA) - Roads, Water & Sewer Coverage

May 8, 2022

In December 2021, we released the Nairobi Metropolitan Area (NMA) Infrastructure Report 2021, which highlighted that there were 939.6 Km of ongoing road construction and rehabilitation projects valued at Kshs 162.4 bn. On the other hand, there were 99.7 Km road projects worth Kshs 4.3 bn completed in 2021. Both water and sewer connectivity increased by 1.0% points to 55.8% and 19.0% in 2020 from 54.8% and 18.0% in 2019, respectively in the NMA. Kenya’s electricity coverage also stood at 70.0%, which represents a 0.3% points increase from the 69.7% realized in 2019. These instances among many others signifies government’s efforts to better the country through infrastructure developments. 

Unit Trust Funds Performance, FY'2021

May 1, 2022

Unit Trust Funds (UTFs) are Collective Investment Schemes that pool funds from different investors and are managed by professional fund managers. The fund managers invest the pooled funds in a portfolio of securities with the aim of generating returns to meet the specific objectives of the fund. Following the release of the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) Quarterly Statistical Bulletin – FY’2021, we analyze the performance of Unit Trust Funds, as the total Assets Under Management (AUM) have been steadily increasing, and they are among the most popular investment options in the Kenyan market. In our previous focus on Unit Trust Funds, we looked at the Q3'2021 Unit Trust Funds Performance by Fund Managers. In this topical, we foc...

Kenya’s FY’2022/2023 Budget Review

Apr 23, 2022

On 7th April 2022, the National Treasury presented Kenya’s FY’2022/2023 National Budget, to the National Assembly two months earlier than the usual June date in a bid to provide Parliament with ample time to discuss and approve the Budget, before it winds down ahead of the upcoming August 9th elections. Additionally, the Cabinet Secretary for the National Treasury tabled the Finance Bill 2022 in Parliament for consideration and if the Parliament approves the bill, it will be forwarded for presidential assent, after which the proposals will come into effect. Notably, the total budget estimates for FY’2022/23 will increase by 10.3% to Kshs 3.3 tn from the Kshs 3.0 tn in FY’2021/2022 while the total revenue will increase by 20....

Kenya Listed Banks FY’2021 Report

Apr 17, 2022

Following the release of the FY’2021 results by Kenyan listed banks, the Cytonn Financial Services Research Team undertook an analysis on the financial performance of the listed banks and identified the key factors that shaped the performance of the sector. The Asset Quality for the listed banks improved in FY’2021, with the gross NPL ratio declining by 1.2% points to 12.3%, from 13.5% in FY’2020. We however note that despite this improvement in the asset quality, the NPL ratio remains higher than the 10-year average of 8.1%. The listed banks’ management quality also improved, with the Cost to Income ratio improving by 16.9% points to 56.4%, from 73.3% recorded in FY’2020, as banks continued to reduce their provisioning levels following the improved business environment during the period. Consequently, Core Earnings per Share (EPS) recorded a weighted growth of 82.9% in FY’2021, from a weighted decline of 26.8% recorded in FY&rsquo...