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Recent Topicals

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Kenya Macroeconomic Review

Oct 5, 2025

According to the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) Q2'2025 Quarterly GDP Report, the Kenyan economy recorded a 5.0% growth in Q2’2025, 0.4% points higher from the 4.6% growth rate recorded in Q2’2024. The main contributor to Kenyan GDP remains to be the Agriculture, Fishing and Forestry sector which grew by 4.4% in Q2’2025, lower than the 4.5% expansion recorded in Q2’2024. All sectors in Q2’2025 recorded positive growths, with varying magnitudes across activities. Most sectors recorded contraction in growth rates compared to Q2’2024 with Accommodation & Food Services, Financial Services Indirectly Measured and Other services recording growth rate declines of 27.2%, 8.9% and 3.4% points to 7.8%, 1.4% and 1.4% from 35.0%, 10.3% and 4.8% respectively. Other sectors recorded an expansion...

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Sub-Saharan Africa Regional Review

Oct 5, 2025

According to the World Bank, the Sub-Saharan economy is projected to grow at a moderate rate of 3.7% in 2025, which is 0.2% points higher than the 3.5% growth recorded in 2024, and a downward revision from the January 2025 projection of 4.1%. The downward revision is mainly due to the rising trade barriers coupled with the weakened global investor confidence. The expected recovery from 2024 is primarily driven by global economic stability, and easing of monetary policy rates in the region, which is expected to boost private consumption and investment. However, most countries face the risk of increased inflation due to increased food prices resulting from drought, prompting them to increase or hol...

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Global Markets Review

Oct 5, 2025

Global Economic Growth: According to the World Bank the global economy is projected to grow at 2.3% in 2025, lower than the 2.7% growth recorded in 2024. This forecast marks a significant downward revision from earlier projection in January of 2.7%, reflecting anticipated economic downturn, particularly due to rising international trade disputes and policy uncertainties. The World Bank’s growth projection of 2.3% is 0.5% points lower than the IMF’s 2025 forecast of 3.0%, which was also r...

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Nairobi Metropolitan Area (NMA) Land Report 2025

Sep 28, 2025

In July 2024, we released the Nairobi Metropolitan Area Land Report 2024, which highlighted that the Nairobi Metropolitan Area (NMA) land sector recorded an improvement in performance with the average annual price appreciation coming in at 3.9% in FY’2023/24, 0.6% points lower than the 4.5% appreciation recorded in FY’2022/23. The performance represented a 13-year average price appreciation CAGR of 8.2%, with the average selling price for land coming in at Kshs 132.7&...

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Kenya Listed Banks H1’2025 Report

Sep 21, 2025

Following the release of the H1’2025 results by Kenyan listed banks, the Cytonn Financial Services Research Team undertook an analysis on the financial performance of the listed banks and identified the key factors that shaped the performance of the sector. For the earnings notes of the various banks, click the links below: Equity Group H1’2025 Earnings Note KCB Group H1’2025 Earnings Note Standard Chartered Bank Kenya H1’2025 Earnings Note ABSA Bank Kenya H1’2025 Earnings Note

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