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Recent Topicals

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Review of the Kenyan Shilling Performance

Dec 19, 2021

In 2021, the Kenyan shilling has depreciated by 3.5% against the US Dollar (USD), mainly attributable to the increased dollar demand by energy and general importers with Kenya largely being a net importer. Key to note, this decline, though lower than the 7.7% depreciation in 2020, has pushed the Kenyan Shilling to new all-time lows, with the shilling closing at Kshs 113.0 as at 17th December 2021. This poor performance of the shilling is mainly attributable to the increased dollar demand by energy and general importers, with Kenya largely being a net importer. Global oil prices have also increased during the year, attributable to the reopening of economies globally, which has seen demand outpace fuel supply, further inflating the country’s import bill and consequently weakening the shilling. In the East African region, the currency markets have recorded a mixed performance, with the Ugandan and Tanzanian shillings gaining against the USD by 2.2% and 0.1% YTD...

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Kenya Listed Banks Q3’2021 Report

Dec 12, 2021

Following the release of the Q3’2021 results by Kenyan listed banks, the Cytonn Financial Services Research Team undertook an analysis on the financial performance of the listed banks and identified the key factors that shaped the performance of the sector.  The Asset Quality for the listed banks improved in Q3’2021, with the gross NPL ratio declining by 0.4% points to 12.0%, from 12.4% in Q3’2020. We however note that despite this marginal improvement in the asset quality, the NPL ratio remains higher than the 10-year average of 8.1%. The listed banks’ management quality also improved, with the Cost of Income ratio improving by 12.0% points to 58.1%, from 70.1% recorded in Q3’2020, as banks continued to reduce their provisioning levels following the improved business environment during the period. 

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Regulatory Changes in the Kenyan Pensions Industry

Nov 28, 2021

In August 2021, the National Treasury published two legal notices affecting the Individual Retirement Benefits Scheme and Umbrella Retirement Benefits Scheme. The legal notices have amended the access rule to allow members, before retirement age, to access a maximum of 50.0% of the total accrued pension benefits, down from the previous regulation where members could access 100.0% of their own contributions plus 50.0% of the employer's portion. The additional clause stipulates that a trust corporation shall not appoint an administrator, fund manager, custodian or approved issuer who is related to the trust corporation by way of ownership, directorship or employment. This and many other regulatory amendments and guidelines point towards the Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) proactive change of regulations aimed at boosting the pensions industry's development. This week, we will demystify these guidelines an...

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Kenya’s 2022 Election Campaign Promises Tracker

Nov 28, 2021

Election Watch: Kenya’s next Presidential Elections are set to be held in August 2022 and with less than a year left, we have seen the political temperatures in the country continue to rise. As such, we shall be analyzing the economic campaign promises made by the politicians and the impact these promises will have on the economy. To read more on the same, click here;

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Nairobi Metropolitan Area Mixed-Use Developments (MUDs) Report 2021

Nov 21, 2021

In December 2020, we released the Nairobi Metropolitan Area Mixed-Use Developments (MUDs) Report-2020, which highlighted that Mixed-Use Developments (MUDs) recorded an average rental yield of 6.9%, 0.1% points higher than the respective single use Retail, Commercial Office and Residential themes with 6.8% in 2020. The relatively better performance by MUDs compared to single-use developments was attributed to the prime locations mostly serving the high and growing middle income class, coupled with the concept’s convenience that incorporates working, shopping and living spaces.  This week we update our report with the 2021 market research that was con...

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